Hacoda, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

991
FXUS64 KMOB 011125
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
625 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Now through Tuesday...
An upper level trough develops over the north-central and
northeastern Gulf coast into the weekend. As Imelda and Humberto,
located off the East coast, move off, a weak surface ridge over the
Appalachians strengthens and builds south over the Southeast,
creating a tight pressure gradient along the northern Gulf coast the
rest of the week into the weekend. Most of the forecast area will be
rain free as drier northerly air moves south over the Southeast, the
exception being along and south of the coast, with better moisture
levels, strong low level dynamics in the strong easterly flow with
several easterly waves passing south of the Gulf coast, and added
upper weakness from the upper trough. A building upper ridge over
the East coast will shift the upper trough westward Sunday into the
coming week. The surface ridge over the Appalachians rotates
clockwise in response, allowing Gulf moisture to move further inland
(guidance is advertising precipitable h20 values rising over 2" over
most of the forecast area by Monday). Precipitation returns forecast
area-wide Sunday on in response.
High temperatures well above seasonal norms Wednesday (mid to upper
80s) drop through the rest of the week into the weekend before
bottoming out on Sunday (low to mid 80s), with its best chance of
rain this forecast. High temperatures rebound early in the coming
week as upper subsidence increases from the building East Coast
upper ridge. Low temperatures remain above seasonal norms, with the
coolest night being Thursday night, ranging from the upper 50s well
north of Highway 84 to upper 60s along the coast. The increasing
moisture levels, then increasing upper subsidence, will bring low
temperatures ranging from the the mid 60s to near 70 north of I-10 t
low 70s south to the coast.
Increasing easterly flow along the northern Gulf coast will bring a
High Risk of Rip Currents Thursday into the weekend.
/16
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
VFR flight category continues to prevail across the region through
tonight. Winds remain generally out of the northeast to east-
northeast at around 5 to 10 knots. MM/25
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
A surface ridge builds south over the Appalachians into the
weekend, bringing moderate to strong easterly winds to open Gulf
waters. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for Thursday through the
weekend, with a possibility of being extended longer.
/16
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      88  65  86  64  84  67  85  68 /  30  10  20  10  10  10  30  40
Pensacola   87  70  86  67  83  70  84  71 /  10  10  20  10  10  10  40  40
Destin      86  70  86  67  84  70  83  71 /  10   0  10   0  10  10  30  40
Evergreen   88  62  87  59  85  62  85  66 /  10   0   0   0   0   0  10  10
Waynesboro  87  62  86  60  83  63  84  66 /  10   0   0   0   0   0  10  10
Camden      87  63  85  58  83  63  83  66 /  10   0   0   0   0   0  10  10
Crestview   87  63  86  61  84  64  85  67 /  10   0   0   0   0   0  20  20
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk from Thursday morning through Sunday
     morning for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk from Thursday morning through Sunday
     morning for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Thursday to 7 AM CDT Sunday for
     GMZ650-655-670-675.
&&
$$
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NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion