Harshman School Ohio Weather Forecast Discussion

874
FXUS61 KILN 142354
AFDILN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
754 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will offer quiet and dry conditions through the
work week. The next chance of precipitation will arrive with a low
pressure system on Saturday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Outside of a few shallow cumulus clouds this afternoon, clear skies
will continue with surface high pressure through the near term
period. A dry cold front will bring slightly cooler temperatures
tonight with lows dipping into the upper 40s to lower 50s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Surface high pressure over the upper Great Lakes will provide north
to northeast flow through Wednesday and Wednesday night. This is a
dry flow with forecast PWATs dropping to around a half-inch to close
the period. Cooler temperatures will be in place with highs in the
upper 60s to lower 70s with lows generally in the 40s.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
High pressure continues to offer mostly clear skies through Thursday
and Friday. Can`t rule out some patchy frost early Friday morning
across cool, sheltered locations in central Ohio.
A relatively strong mid-level low will approach the Ohio Valley from
the west heading into Saturday. Return flow ahead of a developing
surface low will bring a southerly breeze and a quick warm up
Saturday with highs approaching 80 degrees by afternoon. Saturday`s
record high is 83 in Columbus and 86 in Cincinnati and Dayton.
For this forecast package, it appears most of the instability
remains to our southwest on Saturday... though showers and a few
storms are still likely later in the day with this vigorous autumn
system. The associated cold front moves through our area Saturday
night into Sunday morning. This will lead to a cool, breezy day on
Sunday. A reinforcing shortwave accompanying the primary 500mb trough
moves through Sunday evening into Sunday night. High pressure will
offer a return to dry weather to start next week.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Prevailing VFR conditions are expected with the exception of LUK
where some river fog is forecast. Winds will continue from the
northeast with scattered mid and upper level clouds arriving
Wednesday morning.
OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms are possible late Saturday.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...McGinnis

NWS ILN Office Area Forecast Discussion