Haywood, Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

944
FXUS61 KLWX 291759
AFDLWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
159 PM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds south from eastern Canada through much of the
week. A strong cold front will track across the area Tuesday night
bringing cooler and drier weather for the middle and latter part of
this week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Early afternoon radar trends show very light showers/drizzle moving
over central VA and southern MD. These are at the far northern
extension of a long moisture trails stemming from Tropical Storm
Imelda over the northwest Bahamas. Latest high res guidance
indicates these showers should mostly dissipate around sunset, with
another round possible after midnight in central VA.
Otherwise, the rest of the area remains dry through tonight. Highs
this afternoon only reach the mid to upper 70s to around 80F. Winds
shift from north to light easterly by this evening, then we should
go calm in most places tonight. Overcast skies will keep temps mild
overnight as lows settle in the low to mid 60s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
The weak high pressure over the northern Mid-Atlantic to Northeast
is forecast to dissipate Tuesday, then a stronger Canadian high
builds in from Ontario through mid week. This high will push south
any leftover tropical moisture in the area from T.S. Imelda.
Additionally, this high helps protect the area from Imelda and
Hurricane Humberto as both move out to sea by mid week.
A cold front moves through Tuesday night, bringing a much drier and
cooler airmass to the area. High temperatures go from mid to upper
70s on Tuesday to upper 60s to low 70s on Wednesday. Abundant cloud
cover lingers Tuesday, then clears out Wednesday morning. Noticeably
breezy for Wednesday with north/northeast winds gusting to around 20
mph. Fall-like temps Wednesday night as temps drop to the 40s in
most of the area, with low 50s east of I-95. The wind-sheltered
valleys in the Alleghenies could drop to the mid to upper 30s if
winds go calm, and that could allow for some patchy frost to develop
in those normally cold spots.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
High certainty in Canadian high pressure building across the Eastern
US through the long term. UL ridging will prevail with dry
conditions expected. While winds are expected to be light through
the long term, will need to monitor the potential for increased Fire
Wx concerns given dry conditions and drying fuels.
Temps below normal to start on Fri before slowly moderating through
the weekend as the flow turns southerly and ridging builds east.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR conditions are likely to persist through Wednesday night. A few
showers are possible in vicinity of CHO this afternoon and again
tonight, otherwise we should remain dry at the other terminals.
North to northeast winds gust around 20 knots Tuesday afternoon.
VFR conditions expected Fri and Sat with high pressure overhead.
Light winds out of the south at 5-10 mph.
&&
.MARINE...
High pressure over the region will maintain favorable marine
conditions to start the week. A cold front is forecast to move
across the waters Tuesday night, then a strong Canadian High builds
during the middle of the week. The pressure gradient over the Mid-
Atlantic is likely to tighten, resulting in increasing northeast
winds over all of the waters. Small Craft Advisories are likely to
be needed starting Tuesday afternoon in the middle Chesapeake Bay,
then spreading to all the waters on Tuesday night into Wednesday.
Light winds Fri and Sat with high pressure overhead. Southerly winds
at 5-10 mph.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
North to northeast winds are forecast to strengthen Tuesday into
Wednesday as strong high pressure builds in from the north. This is
going to keep tidal anomalies in check, though minor coastal
flooding is still possible at Annapolis during the highest daily
high tide.
The threat for widespread minor coastal flooding, and possible
moderate coastal flooding at Annapolis could occur during the late
part of the week. This will be due to a snapback tide when the
strong northeast winds start to diminish Wednesday night, then turn
east to southeast Thursday afternoon into Friday.
&&
.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...None.
MD...None.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM Tuesday to 6 PM EDT Wednesday
     for ANZ530>533-538>542.
     Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM Tuesday to midnight EDT
     Wednesday night for ANZ534-537-543.
     Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 6 PM EDT Wednesday for
     ANZ535-536.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...KRR
NEAR TERM...KRR
SHORT TERM...KRR
LONG TERM...CPB
AVIATION...KRR/CPB
MARINE...KRR/CPB
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...KRR

NWS LWX Office Area Forecast Discussion