Hazleton, Pennsylvania Weather Forecast Discussion

433
FXUS61 KBGM 050254
AFDBGM
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1054 PM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Areas of fog are likely overnight as skies clear. Expect partly
sunny and warm conditions on Friday. Another cold frontal
boundary passage will bring additional showers Saturday. High
pressure then builds into the region early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
1055 PM Update
Added in areas of fog into the forecast, as it is quickly
forming now as skies begin to clear from west to east. The fog
could become locally dense overnight in some locations.
Previous Discussion Below
A band of showers and isolated thunderstorms this afternoon
currently is near I-81 as of 2:30 pm 9/4. This band of showers
will continue to move eastward through the remainder of the
afternoon into the evening hours. Instability and shear are
still somewhat disconnected for anything more than an isolated
threat of gusty winds with any thunderstorms. Timing of the rain
chances is slightly faster then model consensus given typical
biases with the Hi-res models. Temperatures tonight will depend
on the amount of clearing with 40`s and 50`s for most of the
region.
A temporary break is then anticipated as the cold front washes
out to our east. Sunshine should return Friday with temperatures
warming close to 80 in spots.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Another cold front will slowly move through the area Friday
night and Saturday. Enough lift looks to be present to generate
some needed light to moderate showers near and ahead of the
front. Frontal timing makes the temperature forecast on Saturday
tricky with potentially a 20-30 degree spread for highs across
the region. Warmest values will be in NE PA and the western
Catskills. Slow clearing and a bit cooler behind the front.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
High pressure slowly builds into the region early next week with
sunny skies and clear nights. Fairly pleasant daytime
temperatures in the 60`s and low 70`s. However, a fairly
favorable setup for radiational cooling appears possible
Tuesday morning. Lowered temperatures a bit from our NBM which
can be high biased in these cases. Some mid to upper 30`s are
forecasted which would promote some frost.
&&
.AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Showers continue across the area, bringing a mix of VFR and MVFR
conditions. A few IFR visbys have popped up under heavier
showers, but trends show IFR chances going down. BGM could see a
brief IFR visby as heavy showers move through the area just
after 00z so a tempo was included to capture this.
Guidance shows fog settling in tonight after rain showers move
out of the area after 04z. Model soundings show winds just
above the surface weakening around 8z and the surface decoupling
with calm winds at ELM/BGM/ITH/RME. With every terminal seeing
rain today and the expected clearing skies and light winds to
calm winds, fog and IFR and lower restrictions should occur at
all terminals except for SYR after 06z. Guidance may be too slow
with clearing the clouds out so ELM has a TEMPO from 04z to 06z
to capture some early fog and restrictions that may form. AVP
should see winds out of the SSW that will upslope valley
moisture to the terminal, which should produce IFR conditions.
All terminals should become VFR by mid morning. Winds will pick
up again in the afternoon, with gusts out out of the SW between
20 and 25kts.
Outlook...
Friday...Becoming VFR in the late morning with gusty winds.
Saturday...Scattered showers may bring occasional restrictions.
Sunday...Mainly VFR, but a few lake effect rain showers and/or
clouds across Central NY may result in occasional restrictions.
Monday into Tuesday...Mainly VFR.
&&
.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...KL/MWG
NEAR TERM...KL/MJM/MWG
SHORT TERM...KL/MWG
LONG TERM...KL/MWG
AVIATION...JTC

NWS BGM Office Area Forecast Discussion