619 FXUS64 KOHX 122344 AFDOHXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 644 PM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 640 PM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
- Dry through the forecast period.
- Hot days with seasonable nights. Generally comfortable humidity levels.
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.SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Saturday) Issued at 1107 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
There`s plenty of blue sky out there today after the morning fog mixed out. The radar is picking up plenty of returns. That`s not rain, but instead likely migratory birds. The upper ridge is pushing east into the area which will squash the low shower chances we saw yesterday. There could be a little valley fog Saturday morning, otherwise Saturday is looking sunny and warm. After starting in the mid 50s to around 60 degrees, the area will warm into the mid 80s to lower 90s with comfortable humidity.
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.LONG TERM... (Saturday Night through next Friday) Issued at 1107 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
The warm and dry pattern continues in the extended period with the upper ridging holding firm. Look for highs to creep into the mid 90s Sunday and stay there next week. While it will be hot, I don`t think it will be record breaking. The record highs for Nashville for Sunday through Wednesday are 99, 98, 99, and 99 respectively. The long range forecast continues to favor above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation. Not good news given the growing drought conditions.
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 640 PM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
High pressure will maintain presence across Middle TN which will promote continued light/variable winds, though should favor E through the period. Watching for IFR vis potential at SRB again tonight, with MVFR vis potential at CSV. Otherwise, no rain/thunder chances as this time.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 62 92 65 93 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 61 94 64 95 / 0 0 10 0 Crossville 54 83 59 83 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 59 91 63 91 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 57 84 61 85 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 56 84 61 84 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 59 89 61 89 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 59 90 62 91 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 62 92 64 94 / 0 0 0 0
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.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...Reagan LONG TERM....Reagan AVIATION.....Sizemore
NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion