High Falls, New York Weather Forecast Discussion

090
FXUS61 KALY 281048
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
648 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Dry conditions in store today and through the next week.
Unseasonably warm temperatures through Tuesday, with seasonal
temperatures returning Wednesday into the end of the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Key Message: Dry conditions persist with above normal
temperatures through Tuesday.
A coastal low pressure system continues to contribute partly to
mostly cloudy skies across eastern New York and western New
England this morning. As the coastal low continues to head east
this morning, clouds decrease and a partly to mostly sunny day
is in store with dry conditions continuing. A warm airmass is
overhead with high temperatures today ranging in the mid 70s to
mid 80s and dewpoint temperatures in the 60s. So it`ll feel a
bit muggy outside today before a cold front moves through this
evening helping move the more humid and warm airmass and bring
temperatures tonight near normal with lows in the 40s and 50s.
Surface high pressure builds in tonight from the north and west
that is going to be in place over eastern New York and western
New England through Saturday. Very high confidence in no
precipitation within the next seven days as ensemble forecast
models and National Blend of Models (NBM) 4.3 data support dry
conditions this week with upper level ridging in place. We`re in
the season with favorable early morning fog conditions,
especially in river valley locations. So patchy fog could
develop each morning this week as skies are clear during the
overnight hours.
High temperatures are still above normal for the end of
September as tomorrow`s high range in the low to low 80s and in
the 70s for Tuesday. For Tuesday night into Wednesday, another
cold front moves through to bring cooler temperatures back near
seasonable and even below normal with highs in the 50s and 60s
through Thursday. Behind the front for Wednesday afternoon,
gusty winds drain down valley locations with gusts ranging
between 15 and 20 mph. By Wednesday night, winds become calm
again and continue to be light and variable through the end of
the week.
Frost conditions are currently supported for Wednesday night
into Thursday morning across the eastern Catskills, southern
Vermont, Berkshires, and the southern Adirondacks. We`ll
continue to monitor temperatures, winds, and sky cover trends
this week as conditions are currently favorable for calm winds
and low temperatures below 36 degrees. If temperatures fall
below 32 degrees, freeze conditions could occur in the southern
Adirondacks, but the Frost/Freeze program ends for them on the
1st so headlines will likely not be issued for there.
Nevertheless, be prepared to protect plants and vegetation
Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Otherwise, most locations
could observe low temperatures Thursday morning in the mid 30s
to low 40s. High temperatures for Friday range in the 50s and
60s and Saturday range in the 60s and 70s. Low temperatures
range Friday morning in the 30s and low 40s with Saturday
morning lows ranging in the low 40s.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 12z Monday...Fog/mist producing IFR/LIFR conditions mainly
at KPSF/KGFL will burn off by around 28/13z, with VFR conditions
expected for the terminals for the remainder of the upcoming TAF
period. Winds will be increasing to 5-10 kt by mid-morning from the
southwest. Winds then veer to the W/NW behind a cold frontal passage
during the early afternoon, with a few gusts to around 15-20 kt
possible at ALB/PSF. Winds then veer to the N/NW within the last few
hours of the TAF period, with any gusts diminishing as we approach
sunset.
Outlook...
Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Webb
DISCUSSION...Webb
AVIATION...Speck

NWS ALY Office Area Forecast Discussion