Hillcrest Memorial Park, South Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

433
FXUS62 KGSP 062330
AFDGSP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
730 PM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Cooler and drier weather returns on Sunday and lingers through most
of next week. Temperatures dip below normal for the majority of the
week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 720 PM EDT Saturday: Lingering showers remain across the
eastern portion of the CWA and will continue to move out of the
area. Winds shift to the N to NE overnight behind the departing cold
front as high pressure builds in from the north. Low level moisture
also increases on this flow leading to cloudy skies. Fog is also
possible, especially in the normally more foggy areas. Lows will be
near normal.
Low level moisture lingers across the area in the northeasterly flow
even as high pressure continues to build in. This will keep low
clouds across the area through the morning. Isolated to perhaps
scattered showers and a few storms will be possible in this moist
flow. Highs will show close to a 10 degree NE to SW gradient across
the area also due to the high pressure building in. Highs will range
from 5 to 10 degrees below normal with the warmest readings along
the Upper Savannah River Valley into the normally warmer NC mountain
valleys west of the French Broad.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 135 PM EDT Saturday: The short-term fcst picks up at 00z
on Monday with long-wave upper trofing centered just to our
north while broad upper ridging covers the western CONUS. Over
the next couple of days, the upper trof will lift northward with
heights rebounding over our area. At the sfc, robust high
pressure will be spreading over the Southeast as the period
begins late Sunday bringing cooler and drier air for the rest of
the period with no significant precip chances for our fcst
area. Temperatures are expected to remain 5 to 10 degrees below
climatology thru the period.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 115 PM EDT Saturday: The extended fcst picks up at 00z on
Wednesday with broad upper trofing having retreated northward
as heights rebound over our area. Over the next few days, the
large- scale pattern will amplify again as upper trofing digs
down over New England and stout upper ridging persists to our
west over the central CONUS. At the sfc, broad high pressure
will be centered well to our NE over the Nova Scotia area but
still covering most of the eastern CONUS. On Wednesday, the high
will slide further NE while a weak sfc low tries to develop
within the baroclinic zone just off the SE Coast. Most of the
current long-range guidance has this weak low move up the
Eastern Seaboard on Wednesday and Thursday, while its associated
deeper moisture remains just east of our fcst area. Another
robust high is then expected to migrate southward from Canada by
late week and spread another round of drier air back over the
Southeast. Overall, the sensible fcst remains largely unchanged.
We can expect cool and mostly dry conditions thru the period.
Temperatures are expected to warm on Wednesday and Thursday but
still remain a few degrees below climatology. They will cool
again by the end of period as the next round of high pressure
spreads over the area.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Showers and TSRA continue to clear the area,
with lingering -RA/VCSH remaining. As these storms move out, a few
areas of -RA may still occur into the evening hours before
dissipating. Given the abundant rainfall and high moisture,
expecting MVFR and a even periods of IFR cigs/vsby at some of the
sites. KCLT could see a 1SM of vsby with low stratus/BR forming
before sunrise. A TEMPO will remain from 09z-12z. Winds are also
expected to be very light to calm overnight after a cold front moved
through the area. After sunrise, vsby should improve to VFR but cigs
remain in the MVFR range at all terminals through the early
afternoon. VFR conditions quickly return as drier air moves in and
winds remain NW.
Outlook: Dry high pressure is expected into the middle of next week.
Fog and/or low stratus is possible each morning, especially in the
favored mountain valleys.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...CP
NEAR TERM...CP/RWH
SHORT TERM...JPT
LONG TERM...JPT
AVIATION...CP

NWS GSP Office Area Forecast Discussion