Honey Creek, Wisconsin Weather Forecast Discussion

843
FXUS63 KMKX 242011
AFDMKX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
311 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Beach Hazards Statement for Racine and Kenosha County beaches
  through 7 AM CDT Thursday. Life threatening waves and
  currents are expected. Stay out of the water and stay away
  from dangerous areas like piers and breakwalls. There is a
  moderate swim risk for Milwaukee County during this time
  period.
- Isolated showers/sprinkles possible along the Lake Michigan
  shoreline through early Thursday morning (10-20% chance).
- Patchy fog is possible tonight in southwestern Wisconsin.
- Above normal temperatures return this weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
Issued 311 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Tonight through Thursday night:
Light northerly winds continue across the majority of southern
Wisconsin, while overcast skies continue and keep temperatures in
the mid 60s across much of the region. More sunshine in
southwestern to far southern Wisconsin may allow for temperatures
in the lower 70s. Winds will diminish to become light and variable
overnight, with patchy fog developing in southwestern Wisconsin
as clouds clear into the late overnight hours. Locally dense fog
is possible in low-lying areas. Also overnight, a lake effect
shower band will develop, bringing a few isolated showers and
sprinkles to Lake Michigan counties (10-20% chance). This band
will move offshore into Thursday morning as low pressure in the
Ohio Valley propagates farther east, with dry conditions and
clearing skies expected through Thursday.
High temperatures in the low to mid 70s on Thursday, with
northwesterly breezes throughout the day. High pressure and
plenty of sunshine are expected. Overnight Thursday, winds again
become light and variable with lows in the lower 50s (upper 50s
to lower 60s near Lake Michigan).
MH
&&
.LONG TERM...
Issued 311 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Friday through Wednesday:
High pressure continues to dominate the pattern through Friday,
although a shortwave will propagate eastward through northern
Manitoba into northern Ontario Friday night into Saturday. This
will allow for southwesterly winds to develop and persist
through the weekend, bringing high temperatures in the low to
mid-80s this weekend into early next week. Subsidence to the
west of an active Atlantic ocean may reinforce surface high
pressure and allow for continued warming through the early week.
However, going into Tuesday and Wednesday high pressure will
shift northeastward, bringing easterly flow off Lake Michigan
and leading to slightly less impressive high temperatures in the
middle to upper 70s by Wednesday.
MH
&&
.AVIATION...
Issued 311 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
VFR/MVFR cloud cover continues across the majority of southern
Wisconsin this afternoon, with small areas of remaining 1500 ft
ceilings near SBM and MSN. Nearing peak afternoon heating,
expecting ceilings to begin to fall once again within the next
few hours, with 1500 to 2500 ft ceilings expected to start the
overnight hours. Still expecting drier air to work in from the
northwest during the late overnight hours, bringing back VFR
conditions, but if winds calm enough tonight may see some
localized areas with lingering low cloud cover through the
overnight hours into Thursday morning before scattering out. In
addition, patchy fog is possible from MSN westward late tonight
into early Thursday morning before dissipating.
VFR conditions then dominate on Thursday, with light
northwesterly winds. Winds become light and variable again on
Thursday night, with potential for localized pockets of fog
development once again.
MH
&&
.MARINE...
Issued 311 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Gusty north winds will continue into Thursday morning and become
northwesterly by Thursday afternoon, as low pressure slowly
moves northeast across the Ohio River Valley. A Small Craft
Advisory is in effect for elevated waves south of North Point
Lighthouse through early Thursday morning. Winds ease late
Thursday afternoon and Thursday night as high pressure moves
over the region. Some lake effect showers may occur with the
north winds through the rest of today and through Thursday.
Conditions continue to look unsupportive of waterspout activity.
Variable winds on Friday should then give way to south to
southwest winds Saturday, as high pressure exits to the east and
low pressure develops over northern Manitoba and treks eastward
through the weekend.
CMiller/MH
&&
.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Beach Hazards Statement...WIZ071-WIZ072 until 7 AM Thursday.
LM...Small Craft Advisory...LMZ645-LMZ646 until 7 AM Thursday.
&&
$$
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NWS MKX Office Area Forecast Discussion