Huntley, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

583
FXUS63 KGID 050601
AFDGID
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
101 AM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
...Aviation Update...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Hazy skies this afternoon...associated with wildfire smoke
  streaming down from Montana...will gradually improve this
  evening and overnight as a cold front rapidly tracks south
  across the local area.
- There will be a 3-6 hour window ahead of the main cold front
  this evening where a few thunderstorms could develop across
  the local area...with the highest probabilities across north
  central Kansas. Can`t rule out a strong thunderstorm, but
  severe weather is not anticipated.
- Behind the cold front...light rain showers should develop
  across much of the area during the late night hours tonight.
  Precipitation totals outside thunderstorms will be minimal,
  with most locations expected to see only a trace to maybe a
  tenth of of an inch of rain.
- Cool temperatures (upper 60s & low 70s) and dry weather
  anticipated Friday afternoon and through the upcoming weekend,
  with small precipitation chances returning Monday and Tuesday.
  Temperatures will also increase next week, with highs in the
  upper 70s Monday climbing into at least the mid and possibly
  upper 80s by mid-week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 528 AM CDT Thu Sep 4 2025
Cloudy and hazy skies were observed across the local area this
morning. Clouds cleared but hazy skies remained this afternoon
as smoke from wildfires in Montana continued to stream
southeast across the local area. A few locations briefly
reported visibilities falling to as low as 6 miles in smoke at
times, but this hazy smoke should rapidly clear across the area
this evening as a cold front descends from the north.
Ahead of this cold front, could see a few thunderstorms develop
late this evening, especially across our Kansas counties. Not
all the CAMS are showing this, although the 18Z NamNEST
continues to try and fire a few stronger looking storms across
north central Kansas around 6Z. If these storms are able to fire
off across Rooks/Osborne/Mitchell counties as advertised, could
see some marginal hail and strong wind gusts in the 10 PM to 2
AM time frame. Thereafter...models are indicating some light
stratiform type precipitation developing behind the frontal
boundary, which could bring some light precip to much of the
area just before daybreak. This does not look significant, with
most locations expected to only receive between and trace and
maybe a tenth of an inch of accumulation when all is said and
done.
Skies should eventually clear out across the area by midday
Friday, with a cool, dry and sunny weekend in store for the
local area in the wake of the aforementioned cold front. In
fact, could see a fairly chilly fall like morning across the
area to start the weekend Saturday morning, with latest guidance
showing Ord could dip into the 30s to start the day (ranging
from 35-39). Current forecast is not quite this cool, but it is
something to keep an eye on in case guidance continues this
downward trend.
Aloft...primarily north northwesterly flow will then continue
into early next week, with a small chance for showers and
thunderstorms returning to the area Monday and Tuesday, before
a ridge of high pressure moves in from the west, ending precip
chances and potentially brining more summerlike weather back to
the local area by the end of next week.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 101 AM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
High confidence VFR ceiling/visibility through the period,
although especially the first 15 hours will feature abundant
mid-level clouds (mainly based at/above 10K ft.). There could
also be a few/scattered lower-VFR clouds (based mainly 5-7K ft)
around during the afternoon-evening, but overall skies should be
on a clearing trend.
Precipitation-wise, primarily 08-14Z there could be intermittent
light rainfall as a band of light showers sets up over the
general area in a west-northwest to east-southeast orientation.
This should be a rather minor precipitation "event", but have
maintained a PROB30 group to acknowledge it.
Winds will not be a notable issue, with the overall-strongest
speeds focused during the day 15-22Z...out of the northwest
commonly sustained 10-15KT/gusts 15-20KT. Both before and after
these slightly breezier conditions, sustained speeds will
largely prevail under 10KT...mainly out of the northwest early
this morning, and then downright light/variable direction Friday
evening.
&&
.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Rossi
AVIATION...Pfannkuch

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion