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Ivanhoe, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

470
FXUS62 KCHS 111125
AFDCHS

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston SC 725 AM EDT Thu Sep 11 2025

.SYNOPSIS... As upper-level troughing deepens, high pressure will prevail at the surface into the weekend.

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... The mid-levels will consist of troughing over the Southeast U.S. this morning. It`ll strengthen over the entire East Coast this afternoon through the overnight in response to strong ridging over the Central Plains. At the surface, High pressure will remain firmly over the East Coast, with a stationary front well to our south and southeast. The periphery of the High will continue to dominate our weather, bringing dry conditions. Though, there will be a mix of sun and clouds, especially closer to the coast. Expect N to NE winds during the day. The combination of the wind direction and occasional clouds should keep high temperatures slightly below normal. Highs should range from the lower to middle 80s. Lows will range from the lower 60s far inland to the lower 70s near the beaches.

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.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Quiet conditions continue into the weekend, as upper level ridging across the eastern CONUS gradually shifts over the Atlantic. Meanwhile, at the sfc, will still see sfc high pressure dominate, keeping conditions dry across our area. However, for those with any outdoor/recreational plans, do think it`s worth noting that daily chances for showers will still be possible across our offshore waters. Otherwise, look for afternoon highs to warm into the mid to upper 80s under mostly sunny skies, with overnight lows falling into the 60s.

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.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Upper level troughing continues into the extended, though some weak ridging may begin to nudge into our area by Monday. Nonetheless, with high pressure still at the sfc, expect dry conditions to persist. Outside of this, look for afternoon highs to gradually warm back into the upper 80s to low 90s.

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.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... 12Z TAFs: Satellite imagery indicates areas of low stratus floating into our area from the NE, generating borderline IFR/MVFR ceilings. This will continue to impact KCHS and KJZI through the morning, followed by improvement to VFR as the stratus dissipates. At KSAV, VFR should prevail.

Extended Aviation Outlook: Mostly VFR though there could be a few periods of restricted ceilings due to late night/early morning stratus.

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.MARINE... Today and Tonight: High pressure will continue to prevail inland, while a stationary front is well to the south and southeast of the coastal waters. This synoptic pattern will continue to yield N to NE surface winds 10-15 kt. Seas should average 2-4 ft within 20 nm and 3-4 ft for the GA waters beyond 20 nm.

Friday through Tuesday: Northeast flow continues across the local waters into the weekend, with gusts becoming a bit more breezy by Friday afternoon as the sfc pressure gradient tightens. Gusts between 20 to 25 kts will become common, with seas rising between 5 to 6 feet. SCAs will likely be needed in the coming forecast cycles. Otherwise, should see the pressure gradient relax heading into Monday, allowing winds and seas to decrease below advisory levels.

Rip Currents: A Moderate Risk of rip currents is expected at all of our beaches today. The Moderate Risk is expected to continue through Friday along the Charleston County beaches.

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.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... Astronomical tide levels will remain elevated through the rest of the week due to the recent full moon and lunar perigee. Also, total water levels will remain high from large tidal departures due to the pinched pressure gradient and elevated northeast winds. As a result, Coastal Flood Advisories will likely be needed for saltwater flooding across coastal zones of SE SC and SE GA during the mid-late morning high tide cycles through late week.

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.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GA...None. SC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for SCZ049-050. MARINE...None.

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NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM...SST LONG TERM...SST AVIATION...SST MARINE...SST

NWS CHS Office Area Forecast Discussion

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