Jacksons Gap, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

051
FXUS64 KBMX 051119
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
619 AM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025
Friday should be a hot one across Central Alabama, with highs in the
low to mid 90s. Several of the CAMs have indicated isolated showers
across much of the area during the afternoon hours, so opted for a
20% chance of rain across most of the area. A front will begin
approaching the region tomorrow evening, with rain and storm chances
increasing across areas north of I-20 Friday night into Saturday
morning. By Saturday afternoon, as the front advances further into
the area, rain and storm chances (30-40%) will extend down to around
the I-85 corridor. Some activity may linger into Saturday evening
before clearing out overnight.
12
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025
The extended will be mostly warm and dry across Central Alabama
during the afternoons, with highs in the mid to upper 80s through
Thursday. Lows will be a refreshing upper 50s to mid 60s, depending
on location. Some rain and storms appear to be possible across the
far southeast, south of I-85, at least a couple days during the
week. However, confidence on the northward extent of this is
currently low, as most activity will be closer to the Gulf Coast.
For now, no rain chances are mentioned in the forecast for any of
Central Alabama from Sunday through Thursday.
12
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 616 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025
Some reduced VIS will be possible at KTCL and KMGM this morning
through 05/15, before things mix back out into VFR category. Once
that occurs, VFR conditions will be anticipated for the entire
TAF period.
/44/
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Min RH values will range from 35-45% this afternoon and 40-55%
Saturday afternoon across Central Alabama, with chances for isolated
to scattered showers across the area through this afternoon. Chances
for wetting rains increase tonight through Saturday afternoon,
especially across northern and central counties. Behind the front,
min RHs Sunday and Monday afternoons will be as low as 30%, with a
drier airmass working in. 20ft winds will be variable up to 5-7 mph
through Saturday, increasing to northerly at 10-12 mph by Sunday.
While no critical thresholds will be met, the area will be dry from
Sunday through Thursday, potentially increasing fire concerns in
that aspect, especially in areas that receive little to no rain this
weekend.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     93  69  87  61 /  20  30  40  20
Anniston    92  70  88  64 /  20  20  40  20
Birmingham  94  72  88  64 /  20  20  40  10
Tuscaloosa  95  72  89  65 /  20  20  30  10
Calera      94  72  90  65 /  20  20  30  10
Auburn      92  71  91  68 /  20  20  20  10
Montgomery  94  72  92  69 /  20  10  20  10
Troy        93  70  92  68 /  10  10  10  10
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION.../44/

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion