Kingsland, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

742
FXUS64 KLZK 160644
AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
144 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 143 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
-Chances for afternoon showers/storms each day...mainly
afternoon/early evening activity through Thu
-Better chances for more organized convection Fri
-Hot/muggy conditions through Thu...with cooler temps by later this
week
-Active weather may persist into early next week...along with the
slightly cooler temps
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 143 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
A few TSRA were noted on Mon afternoon/evening...but that activity
has since dissipated as of early this Tue morning. Other than some
patchy fog possible this morning...especially where the rain
fell...generally calm conditions are expected this morning.
Chances for diurnally driven convection will be seen each day
through Thu...though no major systems or fronts are expected to be
passing through the region. As a result...most activity that does
develop each day will likely dissipate shortly after sunset. The
overall threat for seeing strong to SVR Wx will also remain
low...but with temps in the 80s and 90s each afternoon...an isolated
strong/SVR storm could be seen. Downburst winds and hail will be the
main threats with the strongest TSRA.
By late Thu into Fri...a closed upper low will be slowly shifting
east over the Plains...and a shortwave looks to swing around the
base of this upper low. This shortwave will move east into AR by
Fri...bringing better chances for a bit more organized convection
to the forecast. While there will be better chances for
SHRA/TSRA...the shortwave may move through earlier on Fri...keeping
the overall threat for SVR Wx low. But again...there will still be
some potential for an isolated strong/SVR TSRA. With upper flow
transitioning to a more WRLY to even NWRLY direction by this weekend
into early next week...chances for precip will remain in the
forecast into early next week as yet another upper shortwave may
pass through Sun into Mon.
Temps will start off well above normal in the 80s and 90s for highs
through Thu...the better chances for rainfall and resulting cloud
cover seen later this week will allow temps to cool some...but could
potentially still be near or slightly above normal.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     94  66  95  64 /  20  10  10   0
Camden AR         94  67  93  65 /  20  20  20   0
Harrison AR       90  64  90  64 /  30  20  20  10
Hot Springs AR    93  67  92  66 /  20  20  20  10
Little Rock   AR  92  69  93  67 /  20  20  10   0
Monticello AR     94  69  94  67 /  20  20  10   0
Mount Ida AR      93  66  92  64 /  30  20  20  10
Mountain Home AR  94  65  94  64 /  20  10  10   0
Newport AR        93  67  94  66 /  10  10  10   0
Pine Bluff AR     94  67  93  66 /  20  20  10   0
Russellville AR   95  68  93  67 /  30  20  20  10
Searcy AR         93  67  94  65 /  20  10  10   0
Stuttgart AR      93  69  93  66 /  20  10  10   0
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...62

NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion