Lake Bonham Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

417
FXUS64 KFWD 122304
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
604 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
...New Aviation...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- An elevated grass fire threat will be present for areas near and
  west of I-35 today.
- Warm and rain-free weather will continue through much of this
  week, with a low chance for storms returning next Saturday.
&&
.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1238 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025/
/Through Monday Night/
Above normal temperatures will persist today and Monday as we
remain beneath a stout upper level ridge. A surface low near the
Texas/Oklahoma panhandles will tighten the pressure gradient
across portions of North and Central Texas, resulting in breezy
winds southerly winds through the afternoon. The breezy winds
combined with with dry fuels, above normal temperatures, and low
humidity, will result in an elevated threat for grassfires west
of the I-35 corridor through the afternoon. Ensure you avoid any
activities that may start wildfires. Otherwise, afternoon highs
will mostly be in the mid 80s to low 90s with morning lows in the
upper 50s to mid 60s.
Barnes
&&
.LONG TERM... /Issued 1238 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025/
/Tuesday Onward/
There will be no significant change to our weather pattern for
much of the upcoming week, with above normal temperatures expected
to continue. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 80s to low 90s
each day with morning lows in the upper 50s and 60s. A pattern
change may begin to transpire as we head into next weekend as a
trough swings across the Central CONUS, potentially shunting the
upper level ridge off to our east/southeast. This could open the
door to storm chances next weekend, which may also be accompanied
by some slightly cooler weather.
Barnes
&&
.AVIATION... /NEW/
/00Z TAFs/
Southerly winds (170-190) will become more southeasterly by 18Z
Monday. Wind speeds of 5 to 15 knots are expected, with one or two
gusts to 20 knots. VFR conditions are expected to prevail at all
TAF sites for the duration of the forecast period.
Darrah
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    68  89  66  88  64 /   5   0   0   0   0
Waco                63  87  62  88  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               63  88  61  88  60 /   0   5   0   0   0
Denton              64  88  61  88  59 /   5   5   0   0   0
McKinney            64  88  62  88  60 /   5   5   0   0   0
Dallas              68  90  67  90  65 /   5   0   0   0   0
Terrell             63  89  61  88  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           64  90  63  90  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              61  88  60  88  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       64  90  61  90  58 /   5   5   0   0   0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion