Lake Coldwater, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

917
FXUS63 KDDC 041000
AFDDDC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
500 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Strong south winds Saturday, with gusts to near 45 mph during
  the afternoon. Elevated risk of wildfire spread west of US 83.
- Cold front arrives Sunday night, with scattered thunderstorms
  favoring the northeast zones. Some storms may produce
  marginally severe wind gusts and hail.
- Much cooler air arrives Monday and Tuesday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025
A strong midlevel cyclone was spinning over Nevada at midnight.
In response, a strong low level jet was in progress across the
plains, keeping south winds elevated and temperatures
unseasonably warm. Surface observations depicted lower 70s still
at midnight, and temperatures will struggle to fall through the
upper 60s at sunrise. This is 15-20 degrees above normal for
early October.
Models remain consistent ejecting the Great Basin cyclone into
the central Rockies this afternoon and evening, as a strong
negatively tilted shortwave. Strong lee cyclogenesis (

NWS DDC Office Area Forecast Discussion