308 FXUS64 KBMX 120459 AFDBMXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1159 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Monday) Issued at 1159 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
Dry northerly flow will continue as slow-moving upper-level trough persists to our east. Temperatures will trend upward, reaching the low to mid 80s on Sunday and Monday as a ridge nudges in from the west.
87/Grantham
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.LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1159 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
The upper-level pattern will remain rather stagnant for much of the upcoming week as a 500 mb centered over the Ark-La-Tex region continues to strengthen and expand. We can expect a continuation of above normal temperatures and zero rainfall.
87/Grantham
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.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1159 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period with northerly winds up to 8 knots.
87/Grantham
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.FIRE WEATHER...
Warm and dry conditions are expected to continue over the next week. Minimum RH values of 27-35 percent are expected each afternoon through Thursday. 20 foot winds should remain just below Red Flag criteria. However, outdoor burning remains highly discouraged due to ongoing and worsening drought conditions.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 48 80 48 82 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 50 80 51 81 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 53 81 54 82 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 52 84 52 86 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 52 82 53 83 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 55 80 55 82 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 53 84 53 85 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 51 81 51 83 / 0 0 0 0
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.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.
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SHORT TERM...87/Grantham LONG TERM....87/Grantham AVIATION...87/Grantham
NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion