Leonville Louisiana Weather Forecast Discussion

472
FXUS64 KLCH 092313
AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
613 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry and mild conditions are anticipated through this weekend and
  into next week as high pressure remains in place.
- With the potential for breezy northeast winds, dry antecedent
  conditions, and low afternoon relative humidity, there will be
  an elevated risk for grass and marsh fires today through the
  weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 613 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
A weak frontal boundary continues to push offshore this afternoon
with noticeably drier air advecting into the region on breezy
northeasterly flow. Biggest weather concern in the short term will
be the potential for low relative humidity values this afternoon
and Friday afternoon combining with the breezy conditions to
produce an increasing fire weather risk. A Fire Danger
Statement has been issued for both this afternoon and Friday
afternoon. Some parishes and counties have already implemented
burn bans due to developing drought conditions, but burning should
be avoided everywhere over the next couple of days.
Little change to the overall weather pattern over the next several
days as upper level ridging centered over central Texas will
maintain dry, northerly flow aloft keeping skies mostly clear
while drier air continues to filter into the region at the surface
making the air feel more comfortable amidst near normal
temperatures.
Jones
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 613 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
The upper level ridge over central Texas will slide east early
next week becoming centered nearly overhead. This will result in a
gradual warming trend with afternoon highs again approaching if
not exceeding 90 degrees. The good news is that the lower humidity
will likely remain in place keeping conditions tolerable. However,
the stubbornly persistent ridge will keep a lid on any
precipitation chances through the upcoming week which will
continue to exacerbate developing drought conditions across the
area.
Jones
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
NNE to NE winds near 5-10 KTS and clear skies will prevail
throughout the forecast period. No deviations from VFR are
expected.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 613 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
A small craft advisory has been extended across the coastal waters
through early Friday afternoon as breezy offshore winds in the
wake of a passing cold front will continue to increase wave
heights to between 3-6 feet. Offshore flow will abate Friday
afternoon through the weekend with seas following through the
weekend.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 613 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
An increased risk of wildfires will exist both this afternoon and
Friday afternoon as drier air continues to work into the area on
breezy northerly winds. This will drop afternoon RH Values to
between 25-30%. Some parishes and counties have already issued
burn bans in response to developing drought conditions across the
region, but burning is discouraged everywhere across the region
through the weekend.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  55  83  57  85 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  62  85  62  85 /   0   0   0   0
LFT  61  85  61  85 /   0   0   0   0
BPT  63  87  62  86 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT Friday for GMZ450-452-455-
     470-472-475.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...66
LONG TERM....66
AVIATION...17

NWS LCH Office Area Forecast Discussion