Levy County Florida Weather Forecast Discussion

341
FXUS62 KTBW 141212
AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
812 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
...New AVIATION...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1205 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Surface high pressure will hold over the region today with
continued clear skies. Temperatures will start the day on the cool
side north with temps around sunrise in the mid to upper 50s
across the nature coast...with mid to upper 60s central and south.
However, daytime temperatures will quickly recover with afternoon
highs generally in the upper 80s across the region.
A weak backdoor cold front will move onshore the east coast of
Florida on Wednesday. Although conditions will generally be dry as
the system will have little moisture to work with, can`t rule out
a light sprinkle...especially over the interior.
High pressure surface and aloft will build over the region late in
the week with clear skies and daytime highs a few degrees above
climatic normals.
Over the weekend, surface high pressure will move off the mid
Atlantic coast which will cause boundary layer winds to veer to
the east and southeast. This will allow L/L moisture to recover
with dew points climbing into the 60s to around 70. A cold front
will push across north Florida on Sunday and the Florida peninsula
Sunday night with an increasing chance of showers and possibly a
thunderstorm.
Surface high pressure will build back over west central and
southwest Florida early next week in the wake of the front with
drier air advecting across the region.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 809 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
VFR conditions through the period with winds mainly out of a
northerly direction.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1205 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
High pressure will hold over the waters through the period. Winds
will be below cautionary levels today and Wednesday. Tightening
of the gradient Wednesday night and Thursday night may cause a
period of cautionary level winds.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1205 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
No fire weather hazards are expected as sufficient moisture will
keep minimum afternoon relative humidity values well above
critical levels.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  88  68  87  68 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  88  67  88  69 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  87  65  86  66 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  87  66  87  66 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  86  60  86  60 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  85  70  84  69 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Shiveley
DECISION SUPPORT...Close
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Close

NWS TBW Office Area Forecast Discussion