Lonoke, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

079
FXUS64 KLZK 070427
AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1127 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 208 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
-A much cooler day is in store for the Natural State as the cold front
 has nearly completely the journey from north to south across the
 state.
-High temperatures on Saturday will range statewide from the low 70s
 to the low 80s.
-A trend of below average temperatures will continue into Monday across
 the state before temperatures overall gradually increase to
 seasonal averages by mid-week and a few degrees above average by
 late-week.
-After the rain and isolated storms from late Friday night/early Saturday
 morning exits the state completely by mid-day on Saturday, no
 chances for any rainfall are forecast over the next 7 days.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 208 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
In the upper lvls, the digging trof positioned over the Mid-South
will eject northeastward into the Eastern region of the CONUS. A
transitions to northwesterly flow over Arkansas is expected into
early next week before an upper lvl ridge begins to build over the
region.
At the sfc, a cold front continues to slowly sag south and will be
nearing the Arkansas/Louisiana border by sunrise on Saturday. In the
wake of this FROPA will be a region of sfc high pressure that will
move into region and supply the state with temperatures of roughly 8
to 10 degrees below average compared to normals for this time of the
year which will be felt on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. Into mid-
week, temperatures overall aided by a combination of east-
southeasterly winds at the sfc and the upper lvl ridge moving into
place over Arkansas will lead to efficient WAA that will place
temperatures back to seasonal normals for this time of the year.
Finally, by late-week, temperatures will continue to gradually
increase becoming a few degrees above average for this time of the
year. A concern looking ahead over the next seven days is the lack
of rain chances across the state. Arkansas will be entering a period
of warming temperatures into the workweek combined with no chances
for precipitation over at least the next week. Drought conditions
may begin to worsen if this becomes a trend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1126 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Expect VFR conditions for the entire forecast period beginning early
Sunday morning through early Monday morning across all sites.
Surface winds will be light and variable at all sites to begin the
forecast until becoming re-established later Sunday morning out of
the east-northeast to northeast. Surface winds will then become
light and variable again later Sunday evening across all
terminals.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     75  52  84  50 /  30   0   0   0
Camden AR         70  57  83  54 /  60   0   0   0
Harrison AR       76  50  80  50 /  20   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    72  56  82  55 /  50   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  73  57  82  55 /  50   0   0   0
Monticello AR     68  59  85  56 /  60   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      72  55  82  55 /  50   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  82  50  84  50 /  10   0   0   0
Newport AR        72  52  84  50 /  40   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     71  55  84  54 /  40   0   0   0
Russellville AR   75  55  85  55 /  30   0   0   0
Searcy AR         72  54  84  52 /  40   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      71  55  83  53 /  30   0   0   0
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74

NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion