Mangas Springs, New Mexico Weather Forecast Discussion

776
FXUS64 KEPZ 301147 AAA
AFDEPZ
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
547 AM MDT Tue Sep 30 2025
...New AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 516 AM MDT Tue Sep 30 2025
- Dry conditions persist through the week ahead.
- Temperatures will climb to around 5 to 8 degrees above normal by
   Thursday as a drier air mass takes over. Southerly winds may also
   become a little breezy Saturday and Sunday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1012 PM MDT Mon Sep 29 2025
A dry stretch can be expected through the week ahead as 500mb flow
becomes more zonal by mid-week with building high pressure just to
our south by late in the work week. Temperatures each day will
gradually warm each day bringing temperatures right back into the
upper 80s and low 90s for the lowlands starting Thursday through
Saturday. Wind speeds stay fairly light each afternoon at 5-10 mph
but will become a bit breezier this weekend due to a passing trough
to our north. Wind speeds will be 10-20 mph both afternoons.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 516 AM MDT Tue Sep 30 2025
VFR conditions to prevail throughout the TAF period with typical
aftn breezes.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 516 AM MDT Tue Sep 30 2025
Drier air will work to infiltrate the region through the end of
the work weak as high pressure rebuilds over the weekend. Any
afternoon storms that do form will stay localized to the high
terrain. Winds will be light through the work week, favoring
terrain influences for their directions. Temperatures will reach
their peak and humidity will reach its lowest by week`s end.
Minimum humidity values will stay above critical thresholds but
localized teens will be possible across portions of the lowlands
Friday and Saturday. The ridge is expected to break down on
Saturday as a closed low sweeps into the Great Basin, leading to
an increase in southwest winds that afternoon. Winds will fall
short of hitting critical thresholds and with minimum RH only
dipping into the upper teens, elevated to critical fire weather
conditions will be unlikely. The aforementioned low will be
absorbed into a larger scale trough cruising the Canada/CONUS
border, keeping dry air in place on Sunday, along with low-end
breezy conditions.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  66  90  66  92 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            56  84  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces               59  85  59  87 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               59  85  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               43  64  44  66 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    57  83  57  85 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              53  79  53  80 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   58  87  58  89 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                58  84  59  87 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       65  87  64  89 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                57  87  57  88 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             63  90  63  92 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               59  80  59  82 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   61  89  61  91 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             61  86  60  88 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           63  85  63  87 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            59  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    58  87  58  89 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 60  88  59  89 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                57  84  57  86 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  48  75  49  77 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                48  75  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 47  72  48  74 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  46  77  47  79 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                54  84  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                56  83  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             47  80  48  81 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   53  81  53  83 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    54  85  54  88 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               52  81  53  84 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  55  80  55  82 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   57  86  59  89 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  56  85  57  87 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           57  85  59  88 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               56  81  58  84 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&
$$
FORECASTER...99

NWS EPZ Office Area Forecast Discussion