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Mapleton, Ohio Weather Forecast Discussion

072
FXUS61 KCLE 291103
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 703 AM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025

...12z TAF Aviation Forecast Update...

.SYNOPSIS... High pressure will maintain influence over the region today. A weak cold front may clip the eastern fringe of the forecast area early Tuesday before strong Canadian high pressure builds southeast over the northeastern United States Tuesday through the end of the week.

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... High pressure will remain over the region through the near term period, although a weak (and dry) cold front could clip NW PA and possibly Northeast Ohio late tonight into early Tuesday. Behind this feature, strong Canadian high pressure will build southeast across the northeastern CONUS and Lower Great Lakes. Dry weather is anticipated through Tuesday, although the air mass will begin to cool a bit starting Tuesday. Today`s highs will be in the 70s and lower 80s with the coolest temps in the low to mid 70s anticipated close to the lakeshore with the warmest temps in the mid to possibly upper 80s expected across interior northwestern and north-central Ohio from roughly Knox County to Hancock County. Tonight`s lows will generally be in the 50s. Tuesday`s highs will be a few degrees cooler in the upper 70s to lower 80s at inland locations with breezy onshore winds producing highs in the low to mid 70s along the lakeshore.

Patchy to fog will likely develop at inland locations during the predawn hours today. As of now, fog related headlines probably won`t be needed since widespread reduced visibilities are not expected, but will continue to monitor satellite and observations as the sunrise approaches.

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.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... The aforementioned Canadian high will continue to build southeast across the northeastern CONUS through the short term period, resulting in cooler temperatures and continued dry weather. Temperatures will be in the 40s across most of the area Tuesday night, however breezy northeast flow will advect warmer temperatures off of Lake Erie with 50s and lower 60s anticipated across NW OH. Wednesday will be the chilliest day of the week with highs in the 60s and lower 70s anticipated. Widespread lows in the 40s are expected Wednesday with a few spots likely dipping into the upper 30s across the higher terrain of far NE OH/NW PA. Winds will be too elevated for frost development and there may be some high clouds that could limit radiational cooling. However, a few spots as far west as the I-71 corridor could attempt to fall into the upper 30s if cloud cover ends up being lower than currently forecast. Thursday`s highs will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s across most of the area, however southwestern zones will likely see max temps in the mid to upper 70s. Thursday night`s lows will largely be in mid 40s to lower 50s.

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.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... The high will settle over the Mid-Atlantic Friday through the weekend. This will place the local area on the western flank of the high, resulting in the return of southerly flow and warming temperatures during the long term period. The dry period will continue through the weekend as upper ridging persists over the eastern Great Lakes. Highs are expected to gradually rise Friday through Sunday with mid 70s to lower 80s anticipated by Saturday and Sunday.

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.AVIATION /12Z Monday THROUGH Friday/... VFR conditions will continue for this TAF update through tonight into Tuesday morning. Skies will remain mostly clear for the next 24 hours. Light and variable winds or a light northeast wind 5 knots expected today and tonight. A light lake breeze may bring north-northeast winds around 5-8 knots this afternoon.

Outlook...Patchy fog possible early Monday morning and Tuesday morning. VFR otherwise.

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.MARINE... High pressure over the Great Lakes will continue to keep the weather very quiet this week. Winds will be light and variable with a trend to favor a light onshore flow today and tomorrow with a lake breeze. There will be a trend to favor a light offshore flow at night. High pressure over Ontario will gradually moves to southern Quebec and New England through the end of this week. A stronger Northeast flow will start to develop on Tuesday, strengthening to 20-25 knots as well as higher waves Tuesday night through Wednesday night. A small craft advisory is very likely for most if not the entire southern nearshore of Lake Erie during this time frame or mid week period. Winds will become lighter and Easterly by the end of the week. By Friday, a light southerly or offshore flow will return over the lake.

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.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None.

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$$

SYNOPSIS...15 NEAR TERM...15 SHORT TERM...15 LONG TERM...15 AVIATION...77 MARINE...77

NWS CLE Office Area Forecast Discussion

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