Martin Elementary School Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

285
FXUS64 KCRP 151136
AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
636 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 624 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
- Quiet weather persists with minimal rain chances.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
The primary driver of our forecast through the rest of the week will
be a ridge of high pressure. This will keep us generally quiet,
though an inverted trough will ride along the south periphery of the
ridge and into the lower to mid Texas coast. Unfortunately,
moisture associated with this inverted trough remains minimal into
South Texas and confined to the near surface layer and will not
give us much in the way of rain chances. We could see a few
showers in the Victoria Crossroads, but most of the area is
expected to stay dry. By the end of the week the ridge shifts
eastward as a larger trough moves into the central part of the
country. This will allow a cold front to at least approach the
area late in the weekend. It`s difficult to say at this time
whether the front will have enough push to get through as it
fights against a stubborn marine layer. Current forecast is for
winds to briefly shift around to the northeast and dewpoints to
drop, especially inland, but the post frontal conditions - if
they make it - will not last long as we would expect return flow
by Monday.
After another morning (Wednesday) of near normal lows, increasing
dewpoints will bring gradually increasing min temps through Sunday.
If the aforementioned boundary moves in, lows will drop back to near
normal for Monday morning.  High temperatures will warm from only a
few degrees above normal Wednesday to 5-10 degrees above normal by
the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
ALI is dealing with fluctuations of VSBY conditions, varying from
LIFR to MVFR. VCT may also briefly drop to MVFR vsby over the next
hour and LRD with MVFR cigs along the Rio Grande over the next
few hours. VFR conditions will prevail by 16Z across all terminals
with light variably winds this morning shifting east-southeasterly
generally less than 10 knots in the afternoon. Another night of
inland fog will be a concern for ALI/VCT.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
A gentle breeze (BF 3) will persist Wednesday and Thursday. The
flow is expected to strengthen to moderate (BF 4) out of the
southeast by Friday. Low (5-20%) rain chances are expected much of
the period, but chance could increase to moderate (30-40%)
offshore Thursday night through Friday night.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Minimum RH values will generally remain above 30% through most of
the period and the ERC forecast will be at 70-90th percentile across
the inland Coastal Plains and Brush Country.  A boundary moving into
the area Sunday could bring low RH values in the Brush country for
the day.  However, a generally weak east to southeast wind should
preclude any fire weather threats. Rain chances are very low
throughout the period.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    88  68  87  70 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          91  63  87  65 /   0   0  10   0
Laredo            93  68  92  69 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             92  65  91  66 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          88  73  87  73 /   0   0   0  10
Cotulla           93  66  92  67 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        89  66  88  67 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       84  76  84  76 /   0   0   0  10
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...PH/83
AVIATION...EMF/94

NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion