Maxie, Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

345
FXUS61 KRLX 101014
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
614 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure maintains control over the area through much of
the week, yielding a stretch of dry weather amid a subtle
warming trend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 315 AM Wednesday...
An upper level trough that moves east into the area today may prompt
an increase in cloud cover, though drier conditions are expected to
continue thanks to persistent high pressure and dry air at the
surface. Some moisture may encroach upon the mountains as a low
travels up the Atlantic Coast; however, precipitation associated
with the system is expected to remain east of the forecast area.
Seasonable temperatures should range from mid 70s to low 80s in the
lowlands and mid 60s to 70s in the mountains. Another cool night is
ahead, with lows forecast to be in the mid 40s to low 50s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 315 AM Wednesday...
High pressure persists beneath an eastward moving trough on
Thursday, then an upper level ridge begins building in from the west
on Friday. This should result in a continuation of quiet weather
through the end of the work week.
Temperatures should trend warmer as ridging builds, with low to mid
80s expected for the lowlands and mid 60s to upper 70s in the
mountains on Friday.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 315 AM Wednesday...
Upper level ridging remains present to the west while a low pivots
across the northeastern US this weekend into early next week. This
low may send a front down through the area late Sunday night into
Monday. While the majority of the long term forecast period should
be dry, there is a small possibility of a few showers in
conjunction with the front.
&&
.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 610 AM Wednesday...
Patchy valley fog will dissipate by 14Z, then VFR conditions
are expected throughout the day. Fog may develop in some of the
river valleys again overnight, though extent could be limited
by cloud cover. MVFR or worse conditions will be possible
within any fog that forms late in the TAF period.
Light, northerly flow is expected during the day, then winds
become calm and variable again overnight.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: The extent and timing of fog tonight may
vary from the forecast.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY       10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21
EDT 1HRLY       06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17
CRW CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
AFTER 12Z THURSDAY...
IFR possible in early morning valley fog each morning.
&&
.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...20
NEAR TERM...20
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM...20
AVIATION...20

NWS RLX Office Area Forecast Discussion