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Mc Minnville, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

203
FXUS64 KOHX 061739
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1239 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1234 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025

- Rain and thunderstorms will come to an end this afternoon, giving way to cooler temperatures this weekend.

- Next week will be dry and sunny with temperatures heating back into the upper 80s to low 90s.

&&

.SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Sunday) Issued at 1113 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025

Post-frontal light to moderate showers will continue over the next few hours, gradually diminishing from west to east this afternoon. Low stratus clouds will plague the area through tonight, keeping temperatures even cooler than originally forecast. The HREF is only giving a 30% chance of exceeding 70 degrees at Nashville today, so have brought highs down for this afternoon. For context on how powerful this cold front is, the normal high temperature at Nashville for today is 87 degrees! As far as any records go, it looks like we will stay several degrees warmer than the current overnight low record for Nashville (forecast: 54, record: 49). North-northwesterly flow is bringing cooler, drier air in and keeping a steady breeze in place with sustained speeds near 10 mph. Winds will calm and clouds will clear tonight with lows dipping into the 50s. Areas of patchy fog will be possible.

Troughing remains over the area Sunday, though high pressure starts to gradually build from west, warming temperatures back near 80 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM... (Sunday Night through next Saturday) Issued at 1113 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025

High pressure will continue building in from the west and this feature will keep things dry and warm next week. Temperatures will slightly increase each day to eventually rise back up into the 90s by next weekend. Rain chances currently look slim to none over at least the next 7 days.

&&

.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1234 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025

MVFR to VFR, with some pockets of IFR, conditions this afternoon as rain continues to move through Middle TN. Radar shows the back edge of the precipitation moving through BNA now and will continue to push east through the evening. Clear skies return across the CWA through tonight. With clearing and recent rainfall, fog will be a concern tonight. Confidence is low on how widespread, but most favorable locations will be along the Plateau. Widespread VFR conditions return after 14z Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 54 81 53 82 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 51 81 48 81 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 50 73 47 76 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 52 80 49 82 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 50 75 48 78 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 49 73 47 76 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 51 78 48 81 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 52 80 49 82 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 50 80 47 81 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...Baggett LONG TERM....Baggett AVIATION.....Cravens

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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