What is today's weather forecast for Merced, CA?

Today's forecast for Merced shows a high of 62 degrees and a low of 54 degrees Fahrenheit. A 30 percent chance of rain.

What is the 7-day weather forecast for Merced, CA?

The 7-day forecast for Merced shows highs from 58 to 62 degrees and lows from 44 to 54 degrees Fahrenheit. Expect precipitation on 7 days with chances of 20% or higher.

Will it rain in Merced, CA this week?

Yes, rain is possible in Merced this week. Precipitation chances: Friday (40% chance), Saturday (90% chance), Sunday (80% chance), Monday (70% chance), Wednesday (30% chance), Thursday (40% chance), Friday (20% chance).

How accurate is the Merced weather forecast?

WeatherForYou provides highly accurate Merced forecasts using National Weather Service data and current conditions from the nearest available weather stations, often miles closer than regional airports, for the most precise local forecasts.

Merced, CA Weather Forecast and Current Conditions

Current Conditions From Nearby Local Station

Switch to Metric Units

60°F
Feels Like 60°F

Humidity 92% Dew Point 58°F Wind Calm Barometer 29.87 in.758.7 mm

Report from a MADIS/MESONET weather station 0.3 miles NW of central Merced
at 5:10 PM Fri, Nov 14, 2025

Point Forecast at a Glance

FriNov 14

30%

SatNov 15

60%

SunNov 16

80%

MonNov 17

70%

TueNov 18

WedNov 19

ThuNov 20

40%

7-Day Temperature Trend

Week Ahead Summary

High temperatures remain relatively stable through the week, ranging from 58°F to 62°F. Unsettled weather expected with rain likely on at least 6 days.

Climate Context

This week's forecast shows temperatures running 5°F below the historical average for November. Normal highs for this period are around 65°F with lows around 42°F.

This Date in Weather History

1987 - The first major snowstorm of the season hit the Southern and Central Rockies, producing 12 inches at the Brian Head ski resort in Utah overnight. Strong and gusty winds associated with the storm reached 52 mph at Ruidoso NM. In the eastern U.S., the temperature at Washington D.C. soared to 68 degrees, just three days after being buried under more than a foot of snow.

Merced, CA 7 Day Weather Forecast Details

Friday Nov 14

Day: A 30 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 62. North wind around 5 mph.

Night: A 40 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 54. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph after midnight.

Saturday Nov 15

Day: Rain likely, mainly after 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 59. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Night: Rain. Low around 53. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

Sunday Nov 16

Day: Rain, mainly before 4pm. High near 59. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Night: Rain likely, mainly after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Monday Nov 17

Day: Rain likely before 10am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10am and 4pm, then a chance of rain and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Night: A 30 percent chance of rain before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Tuesday Nov 18

Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 60. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Calm wind.

Wednesday Nov 19

Day: A 10 percent chance of rain. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. South wind around 5 mph.

Night: A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. East southeast wind around 5 mph.

Thursday Nov 20

Day: A 40 percent chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

Night: A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. North northeast wind around 5 mph.

Friday Nov 21

Day: A 20 percent chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

About Merced, CA

Merced ( mur-SED; from Spanish for 'Mercy', pronounced [meɾˈseð]) is a city in and the county seat of Merced County, California, United States, in the San Joaquin Valley. As of the 2020 census, the city had a population of 86,333, up from 78,958 in 2010. Incorporated on April 1, 1889, Merced is a charter city that operates under a council–manager government. It is named after the Merced River, which flows nearby. Merced, known as the "Gateway to Yosemite", is less than two hours by automobile from Yosemite National Park to the east and Monterey Bay, the Pacific Ocean, and multiple beaches to the west. The community is served by the passenger rail service Amtrak, a minor, heavily subsidized airline through Merced Regional Airport, and three bus lines. It is approximately 110 miles (180 km) from Sacramento, 130 miles (210 km) from San Francisco, 55 miles (89 km) from Fresno, and 270 miles (430 km) from Los Angeles. In 2005, the city became home to the 10th University of California campus, University of California, Merced (UC Merced), the first research university built in the U.S. in the 21st century.

Content from Wikipedia, licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0.

How We Provide Better Local Weather

Current conditions: We use the nearest available station to your location - including professional MESONET/MADIS and local weather stations - often miles closer than regional airports.

Forecasts: National Weather Service point forecasts predict for your specific area, not broad regional zones, making them far more relevant to your location.

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