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Moulton Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

119
FXUS64 KHUN 081607
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 1107 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...

.NEAR TERM... Issued at 1106 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Drier air will finally begin to filter into the area today as upper troughing pushes east and high pressure/upper ridging over the western Plains becomes better amplified. The clearing line of the dense stratus deck can be seen slowly shifting south through western TN and should reach the local area later this afternoon. Northerly winds will be gusty at times this afternoon and combined with the cloud cover will help keep highs limited to the mid to upper 70s. Although the drier air may be lagging behind a bit, it should feel noticeably cooler today. Overnight lows will fall into the upper 40s to mid 50s, with some clouds increasing over NE AL towards the morning hours as a weak embedded shortwave passes over the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM... (Thursday through Friday night) Issued at 1106 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

The aforementioned ridge will continue to build to our west through the end of the work week and large scale subsidence will help keep drier air in place. With sfc high pressure over the northeast Atlantic coast, we will also feel the benefits of cold air damming from the Appalachians. Daytime highs will be in the 70s with lows in the upper 40s and 50s each night. Some of the coolest air of the season is expected Friday night as lows sink to the upper 40s across a larger portion of the area. The only potential impact during this time period will be the chance for patchy fog in and around river valleys and sheltered locations.

&&

.LONG TERM... (Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 1037 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

Global models continue to indicate that a developing 500-mb trough (initially positioned along the southeastern Atlantic Coast) will continue to intensify as it lifts north-northeastward this weekend. This disturbance may then become absorbed within the flow around a more compact northern stream trough digging southeastward from the Great Lakes, with this evolution resulting in the formation of a large closed low in the general vicinity of the Mid-Atlantic Coast. With NNW winds aloft predicted to increase into the 25-35 knot range between the low to our east and a 500-mb ridge extending from south TX into the Great Lakes, we expect dry conditions to prevail through the period. Highs will slowly warm from the 75-80F range on Saturday into the l-m 80s by Tuesday, with lows also increasing from the 45-50F range Sunday morning into the l-m 50s early next week.

&&

.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 957 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Intermittent fog and low ceilings have influenced both KMSL and KHSV this morning and will have a medium-high chance of continuing to do so through 12-13Z. This has resulted in LIFR to IFR conditions. Lowered ceilings will persist at both sites through the afternoon before gradually scattering out/clearing. MVFR to VFR conditions will return late this morning into the afternoon.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. &&

$$

NEAR TERM...25 SHORT TERM....25 LONG TERM....70 AVIATION...HC

NWS HUN Office Area Forecast Discussion

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