002 FXUS64 KOHX 192305 AFDOHXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 605 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 602 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
- Above normal temperatures continue, especially daytime highs which will be mostly upper 80s to lower 90s through the weekend.
- Isolated storms on Saturday with better chances for scattered rainfall next week with a gradual cool down.
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.SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Saturday) Issued at 1106 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
The upper ridging is beginning to break down with a cluster of showers and storms around the Tennessee/Arkansas border this morning. CAMS have been indicating a couple isolated showers and storms developing west of I-65 this afternoon. Some patchy fog in the valleys east of I-65 will be possible again overnight. The weekend will continue to bring above average temperatures. There will be some more isolated to scattered storms on Saturday especially in the afternoon.
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.LONG TERM... (Saturday Night through next Friday) Issued at 1106 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
The storm chances will slightly increase on Sunday as a short wave moves across the Mid Mississippi Valley. The more unsettled pattern will continue into next week as some small disturbances move through the zonal upper flow early in the week. A deeper trough/upper low will eject out of the Mountain West and move into our area late Wednesday or Thursday maintaining the rain chances but also finally knocking temperatures back to values close to normal.
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 602 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Scattered thunderstorms west of I-65 will taper off after sunset with chances for direct impacts at any terminal low. Light and variable winds continue overnight with patchy fog possible at CKV, CSV, and SRB. Any fog will diminish around 14Z, and wind directions tomorrow will become more southerly. Isolated thunderstorms are expected again Saturday afternoon, however, probabilities are too low to include in TAFs at this time.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 66 94 69 91 / 20 20 20 30 Clarksville 64 94 66 90 / 20 30 20 40 Crossville 60 85 62 82 / 0 20 10 20 Columbia 63 93 66 90 / 30 20 20 20 Cookeville 63 88 65 85 / 0 20 10 30 Jamestown 61 86 64 83 / 0 20 10 30 Lawrenceburg 63 91 64 90 / 30 20 20 20 Murfreesboro 63 93 67 90 / 20 20 20 20 Waverly 64 92 66 88 / 30 20 20 30
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.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...Reagan LONG TERM....Reagan AVIATION.....Clements
NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion