Muleshoe, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

979
FXUS64 KLUB 010609
AFDLUB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
Issued by National Weather Service Norman OK
109 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 107 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
- Dry and unseasonably warm temperatures expected through the
   weekend, with highs at least 10 degrees above seasonal
   normals.
- Pattern change early next week may bring slight "cooler"
   temperatures and increased precipitation chances.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 107 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
An upper ridge will build over northwest Mexico with northwesterly
flow aloft. Weak lee troughing will bring warm downsloping
southwesterly surface flow and well above-normal highs in the upper
80s (along the Caprock) to mid 90s (off the Caprock). A few high
clouds may develop throughout the day, otherwise expect mostly sunny
skies and light breezes. Tonight, mostly clear skies, light winds
and mild temperatures will continue. Overnight low temperatures will
be nearly 5 degrees above-average in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 107 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
The upper ridge will build into the Southern Plains through the end
of the work week with dry air subsidence keeping any precipitation
chances near zero. Additionally, the trend for above-average
temperatures will continue for the start of October. A longwave
trough will build across the western CONUS this weekend with a
return to southwesterly flow aloft. Strong lee cyclogenesis will
develop across northeast CO as the main jet associated with an
embedded shortwave ejects northeastward into the Central and
Northern Plains. Much of any moisture will also remain north of the
forecast area with this wave. In the wake of the shortwave will be
another trough digging into the western CONUS and strengthening over
northern Cali. Meanwhile, the upper ridge will build back over Texas
and this overall pattern may open the door for slightly "cooler"
temperatures (closer to normal for October) and increasing
precipitation chances early next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1055 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
A few mid-level clouds could move over the area with generally
light south/southwesterly winds expected.
&&
.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...01

NWS LUB Office Area Forecast Discussion