Newton Field, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

321
FXUS64 KFWD 070618
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
118 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Isolated showers and storms will be possible over Central Texas
  today.
- Cooler weather will continue through Tuesday before above normal
  temperatures return the latter half of the week.
&&
.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Today and Tonight/
As we start out the day, rather cool conditions are expected
with temperatures in the 60s across the region. A weak shortwave
is currently making its way east across West Texas, spreading
high cloud cover over our region. This shortwave will likely lead
to a few scattered showers prior to sunrise across Central Texas.
Precipitation chances (20-30%) will linger through the day as
weak forcing for ascent remains over Central Texas through around
sunset. With instability peaking this afternoon near 500 J/kg, a
storm or two cannot be ruled out; however, severe weather is not
expected. Across North Texas, no precipitation is expected given a
drier airmass and a lack of forcing for ascent.
After temperatures climb into the lower to mid 80s today,
tonight, expect conditions to be be back in the 60s for much of
the region. Our northeastern cities (Bonham, Paris and Sulphur
Springs area) will likely dip into the upper 50s prior to sunrise
Monday.
Hernandez
&&
.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Monday Onward/
With a decrease in available moisture after today, a relatively
dry and precipitation-free period will commence on Monday and
continue through the next 7 days. The area of high pressure that
was over northern Mexico will begin to expand into West Texas,
deflecting incoming systems away from North and Central Texas.
As surface pressure increases and temperatures aloft rise, expect
a gradual warming trend through the week. Temperatures Monday and
Tuesday will remain below normal with an inflection point
occurring on Wednesday. The latter half of the week will see
temperatures in the lower to mid 90s, which is 3-7 degrees above
normal for this time of the year.
Hernandez
&&
.AVIATION... /NEW/
/06z TAFs/
Mid and low-level clouds are beginning to impact parts of the
North Texas TAF sites. Expect a gradual expansion of the MVFR CIGs
with a transition to IFR closer to around 07z this morning. The
IFR potential will last through around 10z before gradual
improvements commence across D10. For Waco, expect MVFR ceilings
to arrive closer to 11z and linger through 16z. The rest of the
day will remain VFR with continued east/northeasterly winds at or
below 10 kts.
Any precipitation this morning and afternoon will remain south of
KACT, therefore, all TAFs will remain precipitation-free.
Hernandez
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    64  86  64  87  65 /   5   0   0   0   0
Waco                64  85  62  88  63 /   5  10   0   0   0
Paris               58  80  58  83  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
Denton              61  85  61  88  63 /   5   0   0   0   0
McKinney            61  84  60  86  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              65  86  64  88  66 /   5   0   0   0   0
Terrell             61  84  60  84  62 /   5   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           63  85  62  86  64 /   5   5   0   0   0
Temple              64  86  62  89  63 /  10  20   5   5   0
Mineral Wells       62  87  62  91  63 /   5   5   0   0   0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion