Norris, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

023
FXUS62 KFFC 042249
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
649 PM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 646 PM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
- Dry weather persists today under abundant high cloud cover
      before isolated to widely scattered rain chances begin to
      return on Sunday.
- Despite chances for isolated to scattered showers and
      thunderstorms re-entering the forecast, meaningful rainfall
      is unlikely over the next seven days.
- Warmer than average temperatures persist through midweek
      with seasonable temperatures returning post-front.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 646 PM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
Current satellite depicts a cu field and abundant high clouds over
much of the area keeping temps in the 70s across much of the area
resulting in an overall enjoyable weather day out there. Expecting
any isolated showers today to stay confined to the far southeastern
portions of our area with rain chances even there at 10%. Gusty
winds up to 20 mph are currently occurring and expected to continue
through at least tomorrow. Tomorrow will see the weak gulf low
track eastward and absorb into the overall troughing which should
allow for a push of moisture from the south as early as early to
late morning. Low clouds are expected to push in from the south
before isolated to widely scattered showers form with higher chances
across central Georgia. Overall, looking at the rainfall amounts
expected, this will be more of a sprinkle type rain instead of a
wetting rain with values up to a tenth of an inch expected. Temps
tomorrow top out in the upper 70s to low 80s signaling the
beginning of the return to warming temperatures.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 646 PM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
Starting off the longterm outlook on Monday morning, the upper level
ridge and associated sfc high over the east coast continue to slowly
drift eastward. Flow out of the east near the surface around the
base of the high brings moisture across into the southeast with
PWATs in the 1.5" to 1.75" range. PoPs over central Georgia have
diminished and regressed eastward as upper level support form the
right entrance of the subtropical jet has shifted eastward.
Combining the limited upper level forcing and CAPE values likely
peaking near 500 J/Kg, any precipitation that remains on Sunday will
be scattered and light at best. Accumulations may only be between
0.1 and 0.25 inches between Sunday and Monday. However, should upper
level support shift further west than models indicate, more
efficient rainfall with greater coverage and slightly higher QPF
may be able to develop. Conditions dry out once again on Tuesday
ahead of a stalling cold front descending into north Georgia on
Wednesday. With the front stalling and ensembles indicating
disagreement on the forward speed of the trough, forecasting
timing and intensity of precip in north Georgia will be difficult.
PoPs remain near 20% in north Georgia due to the uncertainty in
the stalling point of the front and questionable forcing. In all
likelihood, areas of far north Georgia should expect some rainfall
with light amounts near 0.10". Limited accumulations through the
period will not likely see any improvement in drought conditions.
Low end PoPs continue across portions of north Georgia through the
end of the outlook.
Temperatures through the period will be warm for the time of
year. Highs will reach the low to mid 80s for much of the area and
dewpoints will remain consistently in the 60s. Temperatures
become more seasonable late week with the front finally dipping
further south.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 139 PM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
Low end VFR cu field across much of the area should begin to lift
through the afternoon and into the overnight with gusts up to 20
mph expected. Tomorrow morning expecting MVFR cigs to build in
from the south with higher confidence near MCN but still decent
confidence they will reach ATL ~14z and then remain through ~18z
before lifting. Showers are possible tomorrow late afternoon but
confidence remains low.
//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium on MVFR and showers tomorrow.
Medium to high on all other elements.
Hernandez
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          62  77  63  79 /   0  30  10  10
Atlanta         65  78  66  80 /   0  20  10  10
Blairsville     57  74  60  74 /   0  20  10  10
Cartersville    64  81  66  81 /   0  20  10  10
Columbus        67  83  69  85 /   0  30  10  10
Gainesville     62  78  64  78 /   0  20  10  10
Macon           66  80  67  84 /   0  40  10  10
Rome            64  83  66  83 /   0  10  10  10
Peachtree City  64  79  66  81 /   0  20  10  10
Vidalia         67  83  68  86 /   0  50  10  20
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...Hernandez

NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion