Orr North Dakota Weather Forecast Discussion

617
FXUS63 KFGF 072141
AFDFGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
441 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Freeze warning impacts late tonight into early Wednesday
  morning over portions of the Red River Valley into northwest
  Minnesota.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 353 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025
...Synopsis...
Strong subsidence and surface high pressure will maintain dry
conditions through late week. This will promote efficient
radiational cooling in a cool air mass in the heart of the
surface high that will migrate into central Minnesota by
Wednesday morning. This will drive freezing temperatures into
the upper 20s for locations mainly east of the Red River Valley.
Very dry air and increasing southerly winds will bring
potential for near critical fire weather conditions for
Minnesota locations east of Highway 59 corridor Wednesday
afternoon. Should winds look to exceed 15 mph, near critical
fire weather conditions will ensue.
Into late this week, warming trend is still on track as upper
ridging builds into the central CONUS into south-central CAN,
with a brief halt in warming around Friday as a weak cold front
moves through. With upper ridging building this weekend,
southwest flow aloft is progged by late weekend. This will
promote increased moisture into the Northern Plains, and bring
our next chance for precipitation. At this time, there are no
signals for impactful weather from this chance of precipitation.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1208 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025
High confidence in VFR conditions throughout the TAF period for
all sites. Dry air mass over the area will lead to SKC
dominating at all sites. Dry air mass will prevent fog formation
as well.
Winds will be generally light and variable below 6kt
through at least 00Z. Winds increase out of the south 10-15kt in
eastern ND between 00Z-12Z, with all sites seeing increase
15-20kt gusting to 28kt out of the south, highest in eastern
North Dakota and the Red River Valley.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Wednesday for
     NDZ008-016-027-029-030.
MN...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Wednesday for
     MNZ001-002-004>009-013>017-022>024-027-028-031-032.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...CJ
AVIATION...CJ

NWS FGF Office Area Forecast Discussion