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Owens Cemetery Ohio Weather Forecast Discussion

206
FXUS61 KILN 090403
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1203 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

.SYNOPSIS... A high pressure system will shift east across the region through Friday, leading to dry conditions. A weak low pressure system will drop down across the Great Lakes this weekend. This could lead to a few showers across mainly central Ohio.

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/... Surface high pressure centered over the Great Lakes early this morning will drift slowly east through this afternoon. Suppose a few afternoon cu will be possible, but with a dry airmass in place, expect mostly sunny skies today. Temperatures will be a few degrees below normal with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 60s.

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.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... The surface high will move off to the east tonight into Friday. With clear skies and light winds tonight, good radiational cooling will develop. This will allow for temperatures to fall into the mid to upper 30s, with some low 30s possible in outlying areas. This will lead to areas of frost late tonight, especially across our northern areas.

Some weak return flow will develop through the day on Friday with temperatures moderating back to near normal. Highs on Friday will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

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.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... A quick moving shortwave will be pushing into the northern Great Lakes region by Friday night, though the system will be fairly moisture starved. Have some low end PoPs along and north of I-70 Friday late night into Saturday afternoon, but overall signal is not for much QPF. Mainly, we`ll just see some increased cloud cover and an uptick in southerly return flow, allowing temperatures to return to seasonal normals.

In fact, on a synoptic level, there is a pretty interesting meteorological setup that will occur. The shortwave low will get cut off from the parent flow over the Great Lakes/ northern Ohio Valley region on Saturday. Meanwhile, a fairly disorganized area of low pressure will be moving north along the southern Atlantic Coastline. This area of disturbance will actually merge with the cutoff low over us, allowing the Atlantic disturbance to deepen substantially just south of New England while washing out the low over us.

As the low over us gets washed out and pulled east, a very weak FROPA looks to move through the Ohio Valley sometime late Saturday into Sunday. Despite its passage, won`t feel much of a sensible change in Ts or Tds and Sundays highs once again reach the low 70s.

Meanwhile, to our northwest, a robust area of low pressure will be moving through southern Canada, allowing for continued southerly flow across our region. This keeps the warming trend in place and early week temperatures look to rise back above normals, with highs reaching the mid/upper 70s. Concurrent with the warming trend, we look to stay dry through at least the remainder of the extended. &&

.AVIATION /04Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... High pressure and a dry airmass will result in mostly clear conditions through tonight. VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

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.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.

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SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM... AVIATION...

NWS ILN Office Area Forecast Discussion

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