Paulina Peak Trail, Oregon Weather Forecast Discussion

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FXUS66 KPDT 031203
AFDPDT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pendleton OR
503 AM PDT Fri Oct 3 2025
.AVIATION...
VFR conditions expected through TAF period except for MVFR
ceilings at BDN. VFR conditions will arrive at BDN around 15Z.
Ongoing showers continue around RDM, BND, and KALW but expected to
diminish in the next couple of hours. Redevelopment of showers on
Friday afternoon look more relegated to the higher terrain and
isolated at best in those areas. Prevailing northwest surface
winds will be light overnight (3-7 knots) before afternoon
boundary layer heating and mixing and pressure gradient increases
surface winds to breezy at DLS (15-24 kts). /99
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 126 PM PDT Thu Oct 2 2025/
DISCUSSION...
Key Messages:
1. Periods of showers and isolated thunderstorms today.
2. Cooler conditions through the weekend.
3. Cold morning temperatures Sunday through Tuesday.
Current radar and visible satellite imagery showing spotty, light
returns along the Blue Mountains and the east slopes of the
Cascades under mostly cloudy skies. This is in response to an
upper level trough and associated cold front stalling along the
coast. The deepening offshore trough and erosion of the ridge to
our east will promote the potential for isolated afternoon
thunderstorms across areas of Central Oregon and the Blue
Mountains/Foothills. The HREF advertises 100-200 J/kg of surface
CAPE, low level shear of 50-55kts, and lapse rates of around 6/km.
These parameters do suggest the potential for isolated, discrete
storm cells to form, but should stay brief and sub-severe (

NWS PDT Office Area Forecast Discussion