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Pelican Louisiana Weather Forecast Discussion

753
FXUS64 KSHV 072323
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 623 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 114 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

- Today`s meager chance of rain (20%-30%) from isolated afternoon showers will be the last for the rest of the week after a weak frontal passage by tomorrow.

- Mostly dry conditions will continue through early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 114 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

Ridging will remain the primary influence on weather conditions through the next seven days across the Four State Region. The evolution of this ridging will be the source of any subtle variations in weather conditions as a result after a weak frontal boundary passes through the area by the middle of the week. By the end of the week, ridging aloft will begin to shift east, aligning a reinforcing shot of drier air. Northerly winds will pick up in speed on Thursday, ushering in even drier air and briefly pushing the 60-degree isodrosotherm into southern zones. This will allow for above-normal temperature maximums in the upper 80s by the weekend. Rainfall totals over the next seven days will reach a maximum of 0.10in in a few areas with most rain falling today. Long-range guidance continues to suggest ridging building back west later next week, reinforcing dry and warm conditions into the middle of the month. /16/

&&

.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 615 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

High pressure building across the region will allow for generally northerly flow areawide. Wind speeds of around 5 knots tonight to increase to near 10 knots on Wednesday. Otherwise, with the exception of possible MVFR ceilings around and shortly after daybreak across MLU/ELD, VFR conditions to prevail areawide through the period. /05/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1232 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 71 88 65 83 / 0 10 0 0 MLU 69 87 62 82 / 0 10 0 0 DEQ 65 82 57 80 / 10 10 0 0 TXK 68 85 59 82 / 10 10 0 0 ELD 65 82 56 79 / 10 10 0 0 TYR 68 88 63 83 / 10 10 0 0 GGG 67 88 62 83 / 0 10 0 0 LFK 69 91 66 86 / 0 10 0 0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. &&

$$

DISCUSSION...16 AVIATION...05

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion

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