832 FXUS64 KLZK 120536 AAA AFDLZKArea Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1236 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 158 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
-Pleasant fall-like conditions are expected to persist through the weekend.
-Seasonably warm temperatures will return to the forecast area by the new work week, with dry, settled, and warm conditions prevailing.
-Unsettled weather, including rain and thunderstorm chances appear possible across the region by late next week.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 158 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Thru this weekend, pleasantly cool "fall-like" mrngs are expected acrs the FA, w/ seasonably warm afternoon temperatures prevailing. Mean H500 ridging is expected to persist acrs the Cntrl US thru much of next week, which wl support daily temps trending upwards and staying seasonably warm, w/ no appreciable rain chances thru the fcst PD.
Of note towards the end of next week, long-term deterministic and ensemble-mean H500 and sfc progs are beginning to advertise a pattern shift towards more widespread rain chances for much of the Natural State. Wl continue to monitor for hazardous wx potential, but for now, uncertainties and variability remain too large for any concrete details.
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.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1233 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
Expect VFR condns to prevail thru the new TAF PD as sfc high pressure continues to drive the aviation fcst. Some patchy FG may be possible around and near Cntrl terminals near 12/12Z Sun mrng, but VISBYs should remain VFR. Winds wl remain light and variable acrs Cntrl to SErn AR, w/ more dominant Srly winds prevailing acrs Nrn to NWrn AR Sun aftn.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 84 56 87 59 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 85 56 87 57 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 82 59 83 60 / 0 10 0 0 Hot Springs AR 86 59 87 60 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 83 60 86 62 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 86 58 88 59 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 86 58 88 59 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 83 58 85 60 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 83 57 86 60 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 84 58 87 58 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 87 60 88 62 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 83 56 87 60 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 83 59 86 60 / 0 0 0 0
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.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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DISCUSSION...72 AVIATION...72
NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion