870 FXUS63 KPAH 300733 AFDPAHArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 233 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry conditions expected through the weekend.
- Temps will remain above normal through mid week then come down slightly late week.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 232 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
No real changes to the pattern going forward, ridging still dominates at the sfc and aloft through the week and weekend. Temperatures remain above normal, in the mid to upper 80s, through late week then come down slightly to low to mid 80s through the weekend and into the start of next week. Winds remain out of the northeast. Patchy fog continues to be possible in the mornings along the river in Cape Girardeau.
Around the weekend the ridge begins to break down slightly thanks to a subtle shortwave over the northern Gulf coast. With the sfc high being centered over the Mid Atlantic, winds will turn southerly by Friday. The ridge further breaks down and shifts east and puts us into weak southwest flow aloft by Monday with a broad trof aloft over south central Canada. With moisture returning to the area, we could possibly see our first weak PoPs return to the forecast on Tuesday.
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.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 430 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Strong high pressure at the surface and aloft dominates the flight weather this package. Other than the isolated spot fog that offers temporary restrictions potential, it will be a dry northeasterly fetch throughout the column reinforcing the continued tranquil weather conditions; FEW-SCT (mainly diurnal) bases in the 6-8K FT AGL range will again be possible.
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.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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DISCUSSION...HICKFORD AVIATION...
NWS PAH Office Area Forecast Discussion