Pitner Junction, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

005
FXUS64 KSHV 070143
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
843 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 147 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
- Cooler conditions will move into the region today in wake of a
   this morning`s cool front.
- Rain chances will linger across portions of the forecast area
   this afternoon and again on Sunday.
- Dry and less humid weather will move into the region for much
   of next week, with a slow and gradually warming trend by week`s
   end.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 147 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
The previously advertised cool front has pushed through most of
our region, except our extreme southern zones in Deep East Texas
and adjacent Central Louisiana. It is generally located along a
line from Lufkin,TX to near Alexandria,LA. In wake of the front,
we have seen much cooler air across the region under cloudy skies.
Highs behind the front will only range from the mid 70s to lower
80s. In areas ahead of the front, expect afternoon highs in the
upper 80s. Despite the passage of the front, rain chances will
linger across the region, mostly south of I-30 this afternoon, as
the associated 850 mb front moves across the area. But, this
convection should remain isolated in coverage. Some additional
slight rain chances will continue on Sunday, mainly across our
Deep East Texas zones, as northwest flow aloft will bring another
disturbance through Central and Southeast Texas. Across the
remainder of the region, a large dome of High Pressure in the
northern Plains will push drier and noticeably less humid
conditions into the area.
As we move into next week, expect the aforementioned dome of High
pressure to continue to influence our weather, as it slides
eastward across the Midwest into the Northeastern CONUS. The
northeasterly flow around the high will continue to push in drier
and less humid conditions into the region throughout the week,
with dewpoints falling into the 50s and afternoon highs in the
80s through mid-week. A slight warming trend will commence as we
move into the latter half of next week, as afternoon dewpoints
will rise into the lower 60s, with highs in the upper 80s to lower
90s.
/20/
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 841 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Still dealing with IFR or low MVFR post-frontal ceilings near and
north of the I-20 Corridor late this evening. Model cross sections
support this moisture thinning as we go through the night but I`m
having my doubts. Will likely need to address this with the 06z
TAF package but it may not be until after sunrise on Sunday before
we lose this moisture. Look for northeast winds through the taf
period with speeds generally near or under 10kts.
13
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 147 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  67  84  63  86 /  10  10   0   0
MLU  64  85  60  85 /  10   0   0   0
DEQ  59  82  57  82 /  10   0   0   0
TXK  63  83  60  84 /  10   0   0   0
ELD  60  83  56  84 /  10   0   0   0
TYR  66  82  63  82 /  10  10   0   0
GGG  65  83  61  84 /  10  10   0   0
LFK  68  85  65  86 /  30  40   0   0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...13

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion