Pleak, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

696
FXUS64 KHGX 101104
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
604 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
- Widespread high temperatures in the low to mid 90s return on
  Wednesday with increasing humidity expected by the end of the
  work week.
- Isolated to scattered showers and storms are possible along the
  coast Wednesday night through Thursday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
After a couple of very pleasant days (for SE Texas standards) thanks
to high pressure over head and low dew points, we will see a return
to more summer-like weather for the rest of this week and into the
start of next week. The upper-level ridge will be remaining overhead
through the weekend, but abundant sunshine and rising heights will
lead to that slight increase in temperatures. High temperatures will
be rising into the low to mid 90s for much of the area. Lingering
drier air over the region on Wednesday will lead to afternoon max
heat indices to remain close to the actual temperature, but
increasing easterly flow will bring higher moisture back to the
region leading to max heat indices to near 100 degrees beginning
Thursday and continuing into the weekend. Overnight low temperatures
will generally be in the 70s through the next week (lower 70s for
most of the area, then mid to upper 70s in the Metro and along the
coast).
Most of the region will remain rain-free through the next week
thanks to the high pressure building overhead, however increasing
onshore flow/moisture may lead to showers and storms to develop over
the coastal waters Wednesday night through Thursday. Most (if not
all of the activity) will stay off the coast, but there is a chance
for an isolated shower to make its way onshore on Thursday. Some
additional isolated to scattered coastal showers/storms may develop
next week, but overall the forecast is dry for SE Texas.
Fowler
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 604 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
VFR throughout with generally light, E to SE winds. At their peak
in the afternoon, winds should get up into the 5-10kt range, but
become nearly calm overnight. No CIGs, and barely any clouds at
all to mention. Have seen bits of fog here and there, but only LBX
briefly dipped below VFR (17 minutes!) and not nearly the
confidence for any mentions for this cycle. May be modestly more
potential tonight as humidity slowly starts to come back? A puzzle
for future shifts...
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Light to occasionally moderate easterly flow (sustained 10-15kt,
gusts to 20kt) will persist through Saturday. Small craft may need
to exercise caution at times, especially during the overnight
periods where the occasional gusts may become more frequent. Winds
are expected to become more southeasterly by the start of next week.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will begin to pop up
over the coastal waters Wednesday evening and persist through
Thursday night. Additional isolated showers will be possible through
nightly through the remainder of the week. Seas will continue to be
around 1-3ft through the weekend with some wave heights reaching
around 4ft with those occasional higher wind gusts.
The persistent easterly winds will lead to higher than normal high
tides through the remainder of the week, peaking at around 3.0-3.3ft
above MLLW at times of high tide.
Fowler
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  93  69  94  69 /   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  93  74  94  73 /   0   0  10   0
Galveston (GLS)  88  81  89  81 /   0  10  20   0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Fowler
AVIATION...Luchs
MARINE...Fowler

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion