223 FXUS64 KLZK 101731 AFDLZKArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1231 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 103 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
-Isolated to scattered showers and a few storms will be possible across northern Arkansas through this afternoon.
-Saturday and through the remainder of the forecast period, dry and settled weather is expected, with above normal temperatures prevailing.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 103 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Outside of isolated rain and thunderstorm chances acrs Nrn AR this aftn, a persistence-style fcst is on deck for the Natural State thru the next 5-7 days as upper lvl ridging builds in over the Cntrl US.
Regarding rain chances this aftn, an embedded vort max is progged to maneuver thru mean NWrly H500 flow, and may support development of a cluster or even weak MCS acrs portions of MO, w/ precip possibly reaching into Nrn AR later this aftn. Have included higher PoP mentions, but QPF and covg of precip should remain on the low side.
Following today, a mean pattern of H500 ridging is expected to build in acrs the Cntrl US, w/ asctd sfc high pressure residing over the Ern half of the US. This should promote persistence condns, w/ above normal temperatures and dry and settled weather condns prevailing.
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.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1227 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
VFR conds are expected this afternoon. VCSH/SHRA are possible over Nrn sites as an upper level system passes across the region this afternoon and evening. Winds today will be light at less than 10 kts. Lower CIGs are expected overnight at most terminals but should remain VFR through the period.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 57 83 56 84 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 55 83 55 85 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 58 82 57 83 / 10 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 58 85 57 85 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 60 82 59 84 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 57 84 57 85 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 57 85 56 85 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 57 83 57 84 / 10 0 0 0 Newport AR 59 82 56 84 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 57 83 56 85 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 60 86 59 87 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 57 84 56 85 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 58 82 57 83 / 0 0 0 0
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.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...99 LONG TERM....99 AVIATION...70
NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion