070 FXUS63 KJKL 112038 AFDJKLAREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 438 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry, seasonably pleasant weather is expected to continue for the next seven days in Eastern KY.
- Temperatures will remain near or just above climatological averages for much of the upcoming week.
- While confidence in specific details is low, the next chance of rain will likely come next weekend.
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.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 349 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2025
Mostly sunny skies prevail across the Coalfields and adjacent regions at mid-afternoon. Temperatures range from the lower to mid-70s, and are warmest on the deep valley floors and near Lake Cumberland. The only interruption to the sunshine is a few mid- level clouds drifting into the I-64 corridor from the north and a few high clouds streaming in from the southeast. The latest analysis reveals that the clouds drifting in from the north are associated with a decaying cold front, which in turn is associated with a closed, ~562 dam low over the Niagara Frontier region. Meanwhile, the upper-level moisture (cirrus streaming into eastern KY) is associated with an ~573 dam low near Savannah, GA, and its sub-1000 mb surface reflection offshore. Meanwhile, upper-level ridging holds firm to the west, with a 500 hPa ridge axis extending from Texas northeastward through the Upper Midwest and into northern Ontario.
Through the short-term, the upper lows will circulate nearly in place and gradually fill, while the upper-level ridge shifts further east. This will send the decaying cold front across the JKL CWA tonight, followed by subsequent overall weak height rises and surface high pressure ridging over eastern Kentucky. There will be no threat of rain with this boundary, as the region will remain under a dry northerly flow (PWATs
NWS JKL Office Area Forecast Discussion