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Pyramid Lake, Washington Weather Forecast Discussion

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FXUS66 KSEW 260326
AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 826 PM PDT Thu Sep 25 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Zonal flow continues through Friday as frontal systems approach western Washington. Very light shower activity is possible over the northwest coast on Friday evening into Saturday, with more widespread rain moving in on Sunday. Unsettled weather conditions are expected to linger through much of next week with additional chances for rain.

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.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...A mix of clouds and clearing this evening as zonal flow continues. Stratus expected to become more widespread into Friday morning with onshore flow. In addition, light rain may be possible into Friday, mainly for Skagit County northwards and along the north coast. No major forecast updates this evening. Previous discussion below.

Mid and high level clouds are streaming overhead this afternoon as zonal flow opens the region to frontal systems into the weekend. Initially, light showers will be prevalent along the far northwestern coast and in through the San Juan Islands tomorrow and into Saturday. Accumulations will be light and generally less than a tenth of an inch. Southwesterly flow aloft will pick up on Saturday and temperatures will climb slightly into the 70s before cooling off again on Sunday. More widespread rain is expected to arrive Sunday morning and persist into the start of next week. From early Sunday morning through late Monday night, upwards of a half to three quarters of an inch of rain is possible throughout the lowlands with one to two inches in the Olympics and North Cascades. This amount of rainfall will be extremely beneficial on drought starved foliage throughout the region.

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...Active weather conditions are likely to persist through much of the week with additional rounds of rainfall through Thursday. One forecast element that will take the next few days for more detail to emerge on is the possibility for thunderstorms on Monday. It is not in the forecast presently, but if the low off the coast is to position itself favorably for moist southerly flow and ample dynamics to reach western Washington, thunderstorms cannot fully be ruled out. There are still a lot of forecast details like the position of the low pressure system to be ironed out, but wanted to mention the possibility not fully being eliminated. Temperatures will be in the 60s, with 40s and 50s in the mountains and along the coast.

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.AVIATION...Westerly flow aloft through Friday as zonal flow continues. Primarily VFR conditions this evening with areas of mid level clouds, especially along Hood Canal and northern Olympic Peninsula. Cigs will lower and stratus will develop into Friday morning with onshore flow. Areas of MVFR/IFR cigs are expected around Puget Sound between 10 to 19z Friday, with localized LIFR cigs, mainly along the coast. Cigs will slowly improve to VFR with clearing for interior sites in the afternoon. Light winds tonight will increase from the south on Friday.

KSEA...VFR conditions this evening with lingering mid clouds. Stratus will develop tonight into Friday morning. Cigs are expected to lower to MVFR generally between 13 to 19z. There is a 65% chance of MVFR cigs during this period, with a 30% probability of IFR cigs as well. Cigs will then lift and clear into Friday afternoon. E/NE winds will transition more SE around 06-07z before increasing from the south on Friday. JD

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.MARINE...A front sits east of the Cascades, with another frontal system clipping the northern waters later today. High pressure will weaken over the coastal waters today as a result. A strong push of westerlies is expected this afternoon and evening for the central/east Strait of Juan de Fuca (a small craft advisory was issued through 11 PM PDT for winds of 15-25 kt). Seas and winds continue to decrease in the coastal waters with light west winds and seas at 6-8 ft.

A stronger frontal system will approach the region Friday into the weekend. Seas will build up to 9-10 ft Saturday (at this time winds are expected to remain below 20 kt with this frontal system, but stay tuned to future forecasts as future forecasts will likely result in increased winds given the expected fall-like nature of this front). Behind this system, seas will decrease to 6-8 ft next week, with another system Tuesday into Wednesday potentially bringing in gusty south winds.

HPR

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.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

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NWS SEW Office Area Forecast Discussion

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