Quaker, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

872
FXUS63 KSGF 260658
AFDSGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
158 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Patchy fog will again be possible during the overnight into
  Friday morning.
- Above normal temperatures and dry weather this weekend into
  next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 158 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Upper level analysis and water vapor imagery show a trough
extending from western NY into the lower Mississippi valley. An
amplified upper ridge axis was covering the Rockies into the
plains. The main polar jet was located well to the north over
southern Canada, while a low pressure system was slowly drifting
southeast over southern CA west of the ridge axis.
The surface front has pushed to along the Gulf coast and high
pressure has moved into the area. This has brought some drier
air to the area. We have a clear sky and light to no wind. Dew
point depressions were around 2 to 4 degrees and there has been
some light fog already start to develop. Could see some patches
of localized dense fog, especially in the lower lying areas and
near bodies of water heading towards sunrise. Once this burns
off by mid morning, we are looking at plenty of sunshine and
above normal temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s. Lows
tonight should dip back into the mid 50s with a clear sky.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 158 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Upper level ridge will build into the area over the weekend with
the polar jet remaining well to the north and the California low
drifting slowly east into the southern Rockies. Watching a
couple of Tropical systems out in the Atlantic. The closest one
has not become a tropical cyclone yet, but has a 90% chance of
becoming one. Models do bring this feature inland over the mid
Atlantic and then drift it westward. Will have to monitor how
far west it can make it with the upper ridge in place over the
area. The California system begins to lift northeast over the
plains early next week and remains west of our area. So for now,
we are looking at dry conditions through the 7 day period. If
the tropical disturbance near Haiti becomes "Imelda" and drifts
far enough west to bring precipitation to the area, it would
likely be more in the middle to later part of next week.
The upper ridging and abundant sunshine will keep temperatures
above normal through the period and into the 8 to 14 day outlook
which goes to October 9th. Ensemble data is suggesting
temperatures around 3 to 6 degrees above normal for this time of
year for the Oct 3rd - 9th period.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1208 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
For the 06z TAFS, some drier air has moved into the area, but we
could still see some MVFR and IFR fog develop as we get closer
to sunrise in the 09-12z timeframe. Remainder of the period
should be in VFR conditions with a light wind.
&&
.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg

NWS SGF Office Area Forecast Discussion