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Railroad Flat California Weather Forecast Discussion

832
FXUS66 KSTO 112031
AFDSTO

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Sacramento CA 131 PM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025

For additional details on weather and expected impacts over the next 7 days, please visit weather.gov/sto/briefing.

.SYNOPSIS... Dry weather with breezy north to west winds this weekend ahead of a wet, cold system bringing widespread rainfall and the season`s first measurable snowfall to the mountains, though exact amounts and timing are still uncertain.

.KEY MESSAGES...

* TODAY - SUNDAY:

- Briefly drier conditions into Sunday before the next system arrives early next week with breezy north to west winds up to 15-25 MPH this afternoon then again late early Sunday morning.

* MONDAY - WEDNESDAY:

- A colder, wet system arrives early next week, bringing widespread rainfall and the season`s first measurable mountain snowfall through Wednesday evening.

- Exact timing and amounts are still uncertain for this system, but a Winter Storm Watch has been issued from Monday morning to Wednesday evening for the Sierra south of I-80 and above 6500 ft. Moderate travel impacts are expected south of HWY 50 and above 6500 feet with travel delays and slippery conditions expected over much of the Sierra.

- Rain for the Valley/foothills is expected to begin Monday morning with heaviest rainfall rate later that afternoon and evening before transitioning to lighter, scattered showers on Tuesday.

- 10-20% chance of thunderstorms Monday evening into Tuesday morning as well, as the system begins to move onshore.

.AVIATION...

North to west winds expected with gusts up to 15-25 kts across the Sacramento Valley through 18z Sunday with strongest winds from 09z to 18z Sun. Light west winds over the mountains, shifting to the east after 06z Sunday with gusts up to 15 kts until 18z Sun. &&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Winter Storm Watch from Monday morning through Wednesday afternoon for West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada.

&&

$$

NWS STO Office Area Forecast Discussion

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