785 FXUS61 KRLX 012318 AFDRLXAREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 718 PM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025
.SYNOPSIS... High pressure builds in from the north, leading to a prolonged period of dry and unseasonably warm weather. The next chance for precipitation arrives early next week.
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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 1212 PM Wednesday...
High pressure continues to bring quiet and dry weather to the area today. Temperatures will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s for daytime highs. Patchy frost may develop overnight in the higher elevations of Pocahontas and Randolph counties with clear skies and dew points in the middle-to-upper 30s. However, southeast winds 5-8 mph will likely be too breezy to prevent widespread frost development.
Another dry and warm day is expected Thursday as an upper-level ridge centers itself over the middle Ohio Valley. Temperatures will remain above average. High pressure will continue with no rain in the near-term forecast.
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.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... As of 1212 PM Wednesday...
More of the same type of weather is expected Friday and Saturday with temperatures in the upper 70s and lower 80s. An expansive upper- level ridge will remain in control over much of the eastern half of the country, providing dry weather and plenty of afternoon sun.
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.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 1212 PM Wednesday...
By Sunday, the center of upper-level high pressure will slide slightly farther to the east. This will keep the warm and dry weather going across the middle Ohio Valley and central Appalachians, but the air may feel a bit warmer and more humid as a southerly flow brings moisture back into the region. The next chance of rain won`t be until at least Tuesday when a southern stream system and an approaching cold front from the west bring showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms.
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.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 718 PM Wednesday...
Other than dense LIFR/VLIFR river valley fog generally between 06-13Z Thursday, expect VFR conditions with light winds.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and location of fog restrictions may vary Thursday morning.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 EDT 1HRLY 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H M L HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H M L L L PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 00Z FRIDAY... IFR is possible with river valley fog each morning through Sunday.
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.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None.
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SYNOPSIS...JMC NEAR TERM...JMC SHORT TERM...JMC LONG TERM...JMC AVIATION...SL
NWS RLX Office Area Forecast Discussion