Rectortown, Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

181
FXUS61 KLWX 281804
AFDLWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
204 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds south from eastern Canada through much of the
week. Meanwhile, Tropical Depression Nine is expected to approach
the Southeast coast early this week then move out to sea through mid
week. A strong cold front will track across the area by the middle
of this week bringing cooler and drier weather.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Abundant sunshine and warm temperatures are the main story for today
as high pressure builds into the region in wake of a weak frontal
passage this morning. Temps reach the upper 70s to lower 80s. The
surface high moves closer to the region tonight as cirrus clouds
begin to move over the area tonight. These are associated with a
remnant offshore boundary and TD9 over the Bahamas. Areas of fog,
some that could be dense, are possible tonight for areas along and
west of US-15.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
The surface high pressure shifts offshore to start the week, causing
winds locally to become easterly. It is important to note that this
high will protect our region from any direct impacts associated with
TD9 as that system approaches the Southeast coast.
A broad upper trough along the Eastern Seaboard cuts off as a
disorganized low over the Southeast states Monday into Tuesday. The
interaction of the cutoff low and TD9 will push some moisture up
into our area. This could result in a few showers for areas those
and south of I-66 Monday evening through Tuesday morning, though the
best chance for showers looks to be from Charlottesville to
Fredericksburg south.
Cloudy skies to start the week with temps in the upper 70s to around
80F Monday. Mild conditions Monday night as temps settle in the low
to mid 60s. A stronger Canadian high starts to build in from the
north on Tuesday. This brings slightly cooler temps in the mid to
upper 70s and an uptick of northerly winds. Cooler air Tuesday night
drops lows to the 50s for most of the area, with upper 40s in parts
of the Alleghenies.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
High pressure will build into the region and remain strong Wednesday
through Saturday. Temperatures will be seasonable Wednesday, then
again on Saturday, while in between on Thursday and Friday a Fall-
chill with temperatures below average will be felt. Winds will be
northeast Wednesday and Thursday with high pressure building into
the region. Winds becoming southeast Friday and then southwest
Saturday with light magnitudes.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected to prevail for the most part through
Tuesday night as high pressure maintains control. Areas of fog are
possible at most terminals tonight, and at CHO/MRB for Tuesday
night. A few showers could approach CHO from Monday evening to
Tuesday morning.
VFR conditions Wednesday through Thursday night. Winds northeast 10
knots Wednesday, then 5 to 10 knots at night. Winds remaining
northeast 5 to 10 knots Thursday and Thursday night.
&&
.MARINE...
High pressure over the region will maintain favorable marine
conditions through Monday evening. A second, stronger Canadian high
pressure starts to build into the area on Tuesday. The increasing
pressure gradient on the southern side of the high will cause
northeast to north winds to increase Monday night into Tuesday. SCA
conditions are possible in the middle Chesapeake Bay Tuesday
afternoon, then spreading north to most of the waters Tuesday night.
SCA conditions could continue Wednesday through Thursday night.
Winds northeast gusting around 10 to 20 knots Wednesday and
Wednesday night, then northeast around 10 to 15 knots Thursday
and Thursday night.
&&
.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...None.
MD...None.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...KRR
NEAR TERM...KRR
SHORT TERM...KRR
LONG TERM...KLW
AVIATION...KRR/KLW
MARINE...KRR/KLW

NWS LWX Office Area Forecast Discussion