557 FXUS64 KLCH 182316 AFDLCHArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 616 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- High temperatures should hold steady in the low 90s through the forecast period.
- Moisture increases into the late weekend, however, rain chances likely don`t return until the start of next work week.
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.SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 1255 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
Hot and quiet for the short term. A few showers may develop in inland areas today, but dry air moving in will keep most rain chances away. Expect much of the same Saturday.
Highs in the lower to mid 90s can be expected today through Saturday. Dry air will keep moisture and max HIs in the mid to upper 90s.
11
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.LONG TERM... (Sunday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1255 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
Another wave is expected to move across on Sunday with moisture and increased rain chances oozing up the coastline with its passage.
Moving into Monday and beyond, an upper trof slowly swings in and situates itself over the eastern US with trof axis sitting around the FL/AL line. A series of waves will move into the western edge of this trof increasing rain chances each day through the mid week.
11
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 607 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
Isolated showers in Acadiana is the only convection in the region and will fade away with sunset. Otherwise we are looking at VFR conditions with the possibility of MVFR fog in the early morning hours.
Winds will be light for this TAF period.
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.MARINE... Issued at 1255 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
Winds and seas will be low through the first part of next work week. An upper trof sets up across the northern Gulf. A series of waves moving through the trof will bring about periods of disturbed weather with locally elevated winds and seas.
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.FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1255 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
For the most part, conditions continue to be hot and dry. Isolated showers will be possible with daytime heating this afternoon.
Hot and dry can be expected Saturday with little to no rain chances anticipated. Upper wave moves across Texas into Sunday which should bring isolated rain chances to coastal southeast Texas in the afternoon. Daytime RH values in the 30 to 50 percent are expected. Area KBDI values have nudged into the 600s+, making fire weather danger an increasing concern in this dry pattern. However, winds are also very low which is keeping the threat rather contained at this time.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 67 94 67 94 / 0 10 0 0 LCH 70 92 71 92 / 0 10 0 10 LFT 69 92 70 92 / 0 10 0 10 BPT 70 92 71 90 / 0 10 0 10
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.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. &&
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SHORT TERM...11 LONG TERM....11 AVIATION...14
NWS LCH Office Area Forecast Discussion