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Remerton, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

745
FXUS62 KTAE 071425
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1025 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

...New UPDATE, MARINE...

.UPDATE... Issued at 1025 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

Forecast updates this morning were minor. Based on the latest HREF, lowered dewpoints a couple of degrees this afternoon and evening, which also affects fields like Heat Index and Relative Humidity. Nothing else has changed.

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.NEAR TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 348 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

A weak cold front is forecast to push slowly southward into the area throughout the day today with slightly cooler and drier conditions in its wake. It will take about a day or two for it to fully push southeastward through the area, but in the meantime expect it to help generate scattered showers and storms across the southeastern half of the area this afternoon. Highs today are forecast in the upper 80s to mid 90s with overnight low temperatures forecast in the low/mid 60s across SE AL and SW GA to the low 70s elsewhere. How much southeastward progress the front makes today and tonight may cause those low temperatures to shift around just a bit. Generally expect the lower temps north of the front and higher temps to the south.

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.SHORT TERM... (Monday through Tuesday night) Issued at 348 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

A frontal system gradually moves southeast across the region throughout the short term. Dew points in the low 70s remain close to the Gulf Coast and across extreme southern GA. This is were the best precip chances lie as instability remains confined to this area. On Tuesday as the front continues to drag southward, dew points gradually decrease with most of the region seeing dew points in the mid to upper 60s. Again, areas near the Gulf Coast will have the best rain chances on Tuesday as low 70s dews stick around and the best instability remains pinned to coastal counties.

Expect daytime highs generally in the 80s with overnight lows generally in the upper 60s to low 70s.

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.LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 348 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

The situation doesn`t change much throughout the long term, the stationary boundary continues to drag southward on a slow march to the southern part of the Gulf. This leads to a gradual decrease in precip chances each day as dew points sink into the 50s and low 60s by Friday and Saturday as dry northeast air advects across the region.

Expect daytime highs generally in the 80s with overnight lows generally in the mid to upper 60s.

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.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 640 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

Some fog will be possible near KVLD over the next few hours. Scattered showers and storms are expected this afternoon generally along and southeast of a KECP to KVLD line. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected through the period.

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.MARINE... Issued at 1025 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

East to northeast flow will prevail over the waters through through the week ahead. Winds will freshen this evening behind a cold front, becoming fresh to possibly strong, especially over the waters west of Apalachicola. Similar nighttime wind surges are expected again on Monday night into Tuesday morning. Seas will respond by increasing to 3 to 5 feet. The front will stall over the distant waters, supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms each day this week.

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.FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 348 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

A weak cold front will make slow but steady progress southward across the districts over the next day or two. A few showers or perhaps a thunderstorm could accompany the front, but it will be a dry front for much of the area. The front will be followed by gentle northerly breezes today. Winds will clock around northeasterly on Monday, becoming gusty from Monday through Wednesday due to low pressure development east of the Georgia coast. Meanwhile, the front will hang up along the Nature Coast for much of the week ahead, with its proximity supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms each afternoon through at least Wednesday near the Nature Coast and Forgotten Coast.

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.HYDROLOGY... Issued at 348 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

Little in the way of rainfall is expected through the next week. There are currently no flooding concerns.

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.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Tallahassee 93 72 88 71 / 40 20 50 30 Panama City 93 71 90 71 / 20 10 40 40 Dothan 90 67 86 68 / 10 10 20 10 Albany 91 69 85 68 / 10 10 20 10 Valdosta 93 71 86 69 / 30 30 40 20 Cross City 92 72 89 71 / 70 40 80 40 Apalachicola 89 73 86 73 / 40 30 60 60

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.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 8 AM CDT Monday for GMZ751-752- 770-772.

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NEAR TERM...Merrifield SHORT TERM...Oliver LONG TERM....Oliver AVIATION...Merrifield MARINE...Haner FIRE WEATHER...Merrifield HYDROLOGY...Oliver

NWS TAE Office Area Forecast Discussion

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