Remerton, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

258
FXUS62 KTAE 091753
AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
153 PM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY...
.NEAR TERM...
(Through Wednesday)
Issued at 132 PM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
A low offshore enables a stationary front across the central
peninsula to remain in place. This has the potential to bring
showers and storms to the SE Big Bend. Taylor, Lafayette and Dixie
counties could potentially experience minor low lying/poor drainage
flooding tonight and moving into tomorrow.
Lee of the Appalachian mountains a high will begin pushing away the
stationary front tomorrow. Therefore, expect overall lowered rain
chances and decreased cloud cover. Dry, warm conditions will persist
further inland with highs in the upper 80s and lows in mid 60s to
low 70s.
&&
.SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 132 PM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
Stationary boundary will continue to nudge south Thursday towards
south Florida as a mid level trough digs south through the
midwest and kicks the system and its impacts away from the area.
As the front edges south, so does the rain chances. Aside from a
stray shower in the southeast Big Bend Thursday, the region will
virtually be dry. In fact, the region appears to be dry into next
week as dry air filters into the region and PWATs fall to 1 to 1.2
inches which is in the 10th to 25th percentile. Mid level
troughing digs down the east coast of the US into early next week
while mid level ridging builds across the central US essentially
providing a blocking pattern with low pressure systems riding up
and over the ridge. Surface ridging will stretch down the
Appalachians reinforced by high pressure in the northeast US
providing northeast surface winds through the period. Accordingly,
high temperatures reach back into the low to mid 90s by later
this weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 132 PM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
VFR conditions are generally expected through the period with the
exception of brief MVFR at VLD around sunrise. Cannot rule out
brief MVFR at TLH but the probability is too low to include in
the TAF. Northeast wind gust 15-20 kts until sunset at most
terminals.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 132 PM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
A late morning ASCAT pass revealed northeast surface winds around
20 knots through Apalachee Bay to off the Emerald coast. Small
craft advisory continues into Wednesday. Pesky boundary south of
the Gulf waters responsible for the uptick in winds and marine
convection will gradually shift south late this week while high
pressure slowly builds across the southeast US into the northeast
Gulf. Showers become few and far between beginning late week while
winds gradually decrease though periods of cautionary conditions
may occur overnight with offshore northeasterly surges.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 132 PM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
Breezy northeast transport winds are expected for
the next several days with mixing heights getting increasingly
higher each afternoon. This leads to higher confidence in pockets
of high dispersions with the potential for widespread coverage.
Warm and dry conditions are expected for most of the region,
however RH values should remain above critical thresholds.
Looking ahead, the prolonged period of dry conditions and
elevated winds may lead to an increasing potential for elevated
fire weather concerns from Friday through the weekend.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 132 PM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
Little in the way of rainfall is expected through the next week.
There are currently no flooding concerns.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   69  88  67  90 /   0  10   0   0
Panama City   71  90  70  91 /  10  10   0   0
Dothan        65  87  63  90 /   0   0   0   0
Albany        63  88  63  91 /   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      67  88  64  89 /   0   0   0   0
Cross City    70  87  69  88 /  20  40  10  10
Apalachicola  73  86  72  86 /  20  10  10  10
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ108-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Wednesday for GMZ730-765.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ Wednesday for
     GMZ751-752-755-770-772-775.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...LF
SHORT TERM...Scholl
LONG TERM....Scholl
AVIATION...LF
MARINE...Scholl
FIRE WEATHER...LF
HYDROLOGY...Oliver

NWS TAE Office Area Forecast Discussion