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Rhodes, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

339
FXUS64 KMOB 070608
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 108 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

...New Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 104 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

Longwave troughing over the Great Lakes region will begin to lift away to the northeast on Monday. In its wake, a weak, residual trough is expected to linger across the southeast US through the week before moving off into the western Atlantic by next weekend. At the surface, a frontal boundary has pushed through the area this past evening, with another, stronger cold front currently across northern Alabama/Mississippi. This second front will push through the area later today and will eventually stall over the northern/central Gulf. Behind it, a much drier airmass will filter in, likely causing dewpoints to plummet into the upper 40s to low 50s tonight. This push of drier air will be very brief, however, as high pressure to our north will anchor itself over the Appalachians by Monday afternoon. Initially, this will allow for moisture to surge into the local area from the east, potentially allowing for isolated to scattered showers and storms to develop across the southern half of the the area on Monday and Tuesday afternoons. By late Tuesday into Wednesday, guidance suggests that another cold air damming event could set up across the southeast US as low pressure systems attempt to develop along the stalled front off the US east coast and the high lingers over the Appalachians. If it manages to reach us, it probably will not result in cooler temperatures, but guidance does suggest that it could lead to drier conditions and lower dewpoints for the remainder of the week and into the weekend. Highs through the period will generally be in the upper 80s to low 90s. With the initial push of direr air, lows tonight will likely cool into the low to mid 60s across the region. Lows through the remainder of the period will range from the mid to upper 60s inland to the low 70s along the immediate coast. A Low Risk of rip currents continues through Monday, increasing to a High Risk by Tuesday as strong marine winds gain a more easterly component. The rip current risk slowly subsides back to a Low risk by Thursday. /96

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.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1211 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

VFR conditions expected across the forecast area behind a surface front currently near the coast Northerly winds of 5 to 10 knots well inland, around 10 knots over the KMOB coastal counties expected through most of the forecast. /16

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.MARINE... Issued at 104 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

Northerly to northeasterly winds are beginning to develop as a front pushes across the local marine zones. Over the next few days, winds will increase to moderate to strong each night through the morning hours, and will briefly weaken to light to moderate during the afternoon hours. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect from late this evening through late Monday morning for our local Gulf waters, and another advisory may become necessary for Monday night into Tuesday morning. Exercise caution headlines will be in place for our local bays and sounds. A moderate easterly flow becomes established by Tuesday and lingers through midweek. /96

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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 89 64 88 68 87 68 88 68 / 10 0 0 10 30 10 10 10 Pensacola 91 69 88 72 86 72 88 71 / 10 0 20 30 30 20 20 10 Destin 91 71 87 73 86 72 87 73 / 10 10 20 30 30 20 20 10 Evergreen 89 61 88 67 88 64 89 64 / 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 Waynesboro 86 58 85 65 88 65 90 65 / 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 Camden 86 60 86 66 87 64 89 64 / 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 Crestview 92 65 89 68 87 66 89 65 / 10 0 20 20 20 10 10 10

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.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT Monday for GMZ650-655-670-675.

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NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion

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