Riverdale High School Florida Weather Forecast Discussion

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FXUS62 KTBW 150654
AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
254 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 249 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
- Gusty marine winds possible late week and into the weekend.
- High dispersions for fire weather possible late week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
An area of low pressure that has been along the eastern seaboard the
past few days has shifted farther east north of Bermuda. The
associated cold front extends southwest over the Bahamas and across
Cuba. Broad upper ridging and strong surface high pressure located
near the Great Lakes dominates the weather over the eastern half of
the CONUS through Saturday with mostly clear skies and rain-free
conditions expected. A weak backdoor cold front will move south and
east of Florida late Wednesday into Thursday, but no real impacts
are expected other than some gusty northeast winds over the eastern
gulf waters for the latter part of the week. High pressure moves
over the mid-Atlantic states by the end of the week and into the
weekend with pleasant weather and rain-free conditions continuing
through Saturday. By Sunday morning, the high has shifted farther
southeastward between the Bahamas and Bermuda. A weak cold front
will approach the area from the northwest. This will bring a shift
in the winds to the southeast to southwest and also bring a slight
uptick in moisture over the region. A stray shower may be possible
as the front moves through on Sunday. The front pushes south and
east of Florida by Monday as high pressure builds in over the
southeast U.S. Pleasant weather is expected for the first half of
next week. Near seasonal temperatures expected through the period
with daytime highs in the mid to upper 80s and overnight lows in the
low 60s to low 70s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
VFR, rain-free conditions and winds less than 10 knots expected
through the period.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
High pressure north of the area will produce northeast winds around
10-15 knots through the day. A weak dry front moves south and east
of Florida late tonight into Thursday and will produce a tight
pressure gradient resulting in increasing winds with periods of
Cautionary winds expected over the eastern gulf waters through
Saturday. The only chance of any showers will come on Sunday as
another weak front moves across the eastern gulf waters. High
pressure then builds back into the area for the first half of next
week with pleasant weather expected.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Pleasant weather expected for most of the period with only a slight
chance of a shower on Sunday. No fire weather hazards are expected
as sufficient moisture will keep minimum afternoon relative humidity
values above critical levels. Some gusty winds later in the week may
result in some high dispersions across some of the area.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  87  67  87  68 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  88  68  88  69 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  86  66  87  66 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  86  66  87  68 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  86  60  87  62 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  84  68  84  70 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT/CLIMATE...Fleming

NWS TBW Office Area Forecast Discussion