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Roaming Woods Lake, Pennsylvania Weather Forecast Discussion

660
FXUS61 KBGM 301741
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 141 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025

.SYNOPSIS... High pressure will build southward into the region for the middle of the week and remain in place through early next week.

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... Main challenge will be how much temperatures fall the next couple of nights. Conditions do appear favorable for radiational cooling with clear skies and light winds. Temperatures tonight look to fall into the upper 30`s and low 40`s just warm enough to prevent anything more than widely patchy frost/fog in valley locations. A cooler airmass will be coming southward with the high pressure system dropping highs Wednesday into the 60`s. Wednesday night looks like the coldest night as the coldest of the airmass aloft moves over our region. A few locations in the western Catskills and northern Oneida county have the potential to fall slightly below freezing. A freeze watch has been issued for these areas with frost possible in valley locations elsewhere.

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.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... Temperatures start a slow warming trend, getting toward 70 for highs as high pressure remains in control. Low temperatures trend warmer ending any frost potential.

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.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... The prolonged dry and sunny conditions will continue through the weekend and into Tuesday as high pressure still dominates the weather pattern. With the high remaining centered off the mid- Atlantic coast, a south to southwesterly flow will advect in warmer air and send our high temperatures back well above average through early next week. Highs Saturday look to be largely in the mid to upper 70s with some spots making a run at 80 degrees. Sunday and Monday are expected to be in the upper 70s and low 80s. Overnight lows are expected to be in the upper 40s and 50s into early next week.

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.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... VFR conditions are expected through the entire TAF period (at least through 18Z Wednesday). While some model guidance is hinting at fog at KELM once again late tonight/early Wednesday morning, current expectations are that winds just above the surface will remain too strong for any fog formation. The airmass in place will be very dry as well, which will further inhibit fog formation.

Outlook... Wednesday night through Sunday...VFR. Early morning fog at KELM each morning may result in restrictions.

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.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NY...Freeze Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning for NYZ009-046-057.

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SYNOPSIS...MWG NEAR TERM...MWG SHORT TERM...MWG LONG TERM...MWG AVIATION...BJG

NWS BGM Office Area Forecast Discussion

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