Rockhurst New York Weather Forecast Discussion

317
FXUS61 KALY 091657
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
1257 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025
.UPDATE...
As of 927 AM EDT...This update is to expire the Frost Advisory
this morning that was in place for the eastern Catskills,
southern VT outside eastern Windham County, VT, the west-central
Mohawk Valley, Helderbergs, and the northern Taconics, and to
set the entire Freeze Warning for the entire forecast area
outside the southern Adirondacks (where the growing season
ended). High pressure is building in today with lighter winds
than yesterday and cooler than normal temps by close to 10
degrees.
&&
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure building into the area from the Great
Lakes region this afternoon will provide fair weather through
Saturday. Below normal temperatures with widespread frost and
freezing temperatures tonight into Friday morning will gradually
moderate to seasonable levels by Saturday. A coastal storm will
bring clouds and some rain to the region Sunday into early next
week, along with breezy conditions.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Key Message:
- Widespread frost/freezing temperatures expected for
  tonight/Friday morning across most of eastern NY/western New
  England, where a Freeze Warning is now in effect.
Discussion:
As of 130 AM EDT, patchy clouds continue to stream south/southeast
across portions of the Hudson Valley region and east into the
Taconics/Berkshires. These clouds may linger overnight before
eroding closer to daybreak.
Expect a mostly sunny but chilly day today with temperatures
only reaching the lower/mid 50s for most valley areas, and 45-50
across higher terrain.
Cold tonight with widespread frost/freezing temperatures
expected. We have upgraded the Freeze Watch to a Freeze Warning
for all areas outside of the southwest Adirondacks where the
growing season has already ended. Lows ranging from the mid 20s
to lower 30s.
Continued fair weather Friday along with cool temperatures,
with highs reaching the mid 50s to lower 60s in valleys, and
lower/mid 50s across higher terrain. Still chilly Friday night,
with lows in the 30s for most areas, and some additional
frost/freeze headlines likely will be needed, especially across
portions of the upper Hudson Valley into western New England.
Patchy fog may be a bit greater in coverage Friday
night/Saturday morning within river valleys.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Continued fair weather Saturday with more seasonable
temperatures reaching the 60s for most areas, with lows Saturday
night in the mid 30s to lower/mid 40s.
Coastal storm looks to track northward along mid Atlantic coast
for Sunday through early next week, though it may tend to loop
back southward. Some bands of rain should reach areas along and
south of I-90 Sunday afternoon, and possibly north of I-90
Sunday night, with periods of rain/drizzle possibly lingering
through Wednesday as the storm system only slowly departs. It
also looks breezy, especially across the mid Hudson Valley,
Taconics and NW CT, where some gusts of 25-35 mph could occur
late Sunday into Monday.
With prospects for clouds and some rain, daytime highs should
remain below normal Sunday-Monday with highs mainly in the 50s
and lows in the 40s. Slight warming possible by Tuesday-
Wednesday, with high temps reaching the lower/mid 60s, though
could remain cooler if thicker clouds/areal coverage of rain
remains greater. Lows mainly in the 40s.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Surface high pressure is located northwest of the area over southern
Ontario. Visible satellite imagery shows completely clear skies over
the area.  Some diurnal cumulus may develop over the high terrain
through this afternoon, otherwise it remain mostly sunny with VFR
conditions.  Enough a pressure gradient is still in place keeping
northerly winds around 8-10 kts with some gusts around 15 kts
for the afternoon hours. These winds will diminish this evening
with the loss of daytime mixing and with the surface high
building over the area, winds will be calm for tonight with
continued clear skies. With the very dry and cold air mass in
place, no radiational fog is expected.
With the high pressure nearby, skies will remain clear into the day
on Friday.  A southerly winds may develop around 5 kts by the mid to
late morning for all sites with continued VFR conditions.
Outlook...
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Sunday Night: High Operational Impact. Breezy. Likely SHRA.
Columbus Day: High Operational Impact. Breezy. Likely SHRA.
Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Tuesday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday for
     CTZ001-013.
NY...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday for
     NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084.
MA...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday for
     MAZ001-025.
VT...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday for
     VTZ013>015.
&&
$$
UPDATE...15
SYNOPSIS...24/35
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM...24
AVIATION...27

NWS ALY Office Area Forecast Discussion